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Euro 2024 Golden Boot predictions & betting tips

Updated on 8:04am GMT 4 June 2024
Euro 2024 Golden Boot predictions & betting tips

Before becoming a Sports Journalist for Free Super Tips, Aaron spent three years studying Sports Journalism at the University of Sunderland while taking in the Black Cats' 'glory years' under Martin O'Neill. Now back in Northern Ireland he turns niche stats into predictions for FST, while he's one of the few people on this island who is equally comfortable at Windsor Park and the Aviva.

Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane are the early frontrunners for the Golden Boot at Euro 2024 after fantastic seasons at club level.

However, just twice since Euro 2000 has a player on the winning team finished as the top scorer.

On top of that, Euro 2020 saw the award go to Cristiano Ronaldo, who played just four games at the tournament before Portugal were eliminated. The early group games tend to be where players shoot up the scoring charts, especially since the tournament was expanded to 24 teams.

That opens the Golden Boot race to some outside options and there are a few in-form forwards to consider. Below we have 18/1, 33/1 and 125/1 selections, each of which are priced up with bet365.

Euro 2024 Golden Boot betting odds

  • Kylian Mbappe – 9/2
  • Harry Kane – 11/2
  • Cristiano Ronaldo – 12/1
  • Jude Bellingham – 18/1
  • Romelu Lukaku – 18/1
  • Phil Foden – 20/1
  • Olivier Giroud – 22/1
  • Antoine Griezmann – 28/1

Romelu Lukaku to win the Golden Boot – 18/1

Romelu Lukaku was just a goal shy of Ronaldo at the last Euros and he’s coming off his best scoring year for the Red Devils. The Chelsea loanee had mixed returns at Roma this season but he struck 15 goals in just nine appearances for his country last year.

Belgium are incredibly reliant on Lukaku going forward and Kevin De Bruyne’s return should lead to plenty of chances. One of the accusations against Lukaku in his career is that he tends to be a flat-track bully, who struggles to make an impact against a higher quality of opposition. That’s something which has held him back at the highest levels of club football, but it could work in our favour this summer.

With Slovakia, Romania and Ukraine alongside them in Group E, Lukaku is capable of running away with the Golden Boot in the first couple of weeks. His side are fancied for a decent showing in the knockout stages too and given his scoring ratio for his country last year, he is capable of posting a tally in four or five matches which could be difficult to top.

Rasmus Hojlund to win the Golden Boot – 33/1

There are also a couple of forwards in England’s group who could cause some problems for the Three Lions. Manchester United’s Rasmus Hojlund had a strong first season in English football, scoring in his final two Premier League games to finish on a high.

Hojlund also had an impressive Champions League campaign despite United’s European struggles. The Dane struck five goals in six games in the group stage, so he’s proven he can step up to the highest level.

The 21-year-old scored seven goals in eight games for Denmark in 2023 and he can carry that scoring form into this tournament. Having gone on a run of eight goals in eight games earlier this year before picking up an injury, Hojlund can string together an impressive scoring burst.

Denmark made the semis of the last Euros and they look capable of a strong showing this summer. That should give Hojlund plenty of chances to extend his high-scoring start to international football.

Benjamin Sesko to win the Golden Boot – 125/1

One huge outsider in Group C is Slovenia’s Benjamin Sesko. The RB Leipzig forward made the switch to the Bundesliga from Salzburg but it took him a while to hit top form.

Sesko scored 11 goals in their final 18 games and he finished the season by scoring in each of Leipzig’s final seven matches.

Slovenia are outsiders in Group C but Sesko at his best could give them a chance. The forward struck five goals in qualifying last year and with his team upsetting Portugal in March they could spring a surprise in Germany.

Patrik Schick matched Ronaldo’s tally of five goals at the last Euros for the Czech Republic and Sesko looks capable of doing something similar. The fact that the player who has made fewer appearances at the tournament is among the tie-breakers for the trophy helps a player like Sesko, who is more than capable of a strong start before his county heads home.

Sesko has struck 10 times across his last 17 internationals and with his excellent finish to the season, he stands out as a tempting each-way chance at 125/1, with bet365 offering returns for the top four.

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