The start of the Premier League season is just over a week away and next up in our season of season outright predictions focuses on the upper echelons of the top flight.
Despite an early challenge from Arsenal, Manchester City once again retained the Premier League title en-route to a phenomenal treble. Can they win a fourth-successive title, or can one of the other big guns stake a claim for the trophy?
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Premier League 2023/24 outright winner odds
- Manchester City – 8/11
- Arsenal – 5/1
- Liverpool – 8/1
- Manchester United – 11/1
- Chelsea – 12/1
- Newcastle – 14/1
Premier League 2023/24 outright predictions
Man City to win the Premier League at 8/11
Manchester City and Arsenal were by some distance the best teams in the land in 2022-23 and there is every reason for believing they will be head and shoulders above the pack once more.
Manchester United have gone big in the transfer market in a quest to bridge the gap and Jurgen Klopp has made the midfield changes he believes will make Liverpool contenders once again.
Chelsea are probably work in progress as Mauricio Pochettino tries to square the circle of spending big while looking for stability while Spurs are set to flatline at best. Newcastle have bags of juggling to do now they are back in the Champions League and that could make for a tricky autumn.
Motivation, or a lack of it, is arguably the only thing holding Pep Guardiola’s treble winners back, though they went on runs last season that made them look in a different class to anyone else and those will be repeated inevitably at stages.
They’ve said farewell to Riyad Mahrez and Ilkay Gundogan but they were just two of many players who floated around the real linchpins of Ruben Dias, Rodri, Kevin de Bruyne and Erling Haaland, who are all still in the building and at the top of their games.
There’s virtually nothing to dislike about City, not even the price given how dominant they have become.
1st – Man City, 2nd – Arsenal forecast at 9/2
Arsenal narrowed that gap last season and they, like Newcastle, will have to go again with the added focus of the Champions League and that brings a challenge in itself.
Mikel Arteta has, however, strengthened and done it cleverly bringing in a central defender in Jurrien Timber, a world-class midfielder in Declan Rice and another attacking option in Kai Havertz.
Arteta’s options in attack now look electric and where they have an edge over, say, Liverpool is defensively. The Reds’ defence misbehaved far too often last season and that has to remain a source of concern for fans and prospective backers.
The City-Arsenal dual forecast should cover it and that just leaves two more spots to fill the top four.
United will be as good as last season and Liverpool will be better than last season and it’s hard to see past those two filling the places, no matter how impressive Newcastle were last term.
Aston Villa to finish in the top six at 3/1
Top six, however, has scope for a curve ball just as it did in May with Brighton getting in the frame. This season’s surprise package could well be Aston Villa, though it wouldn’t represent a colossal shock given they were seventh last term.
The presumption here is that neither Spurs nor Chelsea make it and they don’t look guaranteed by any means. The saga of Harry Kane’s ultimate destination has dominated the headlines but it’s very hard to imagine him still being in North London at the end of the window.
Even with him they were exposed last term and have much improvement to make against a backdrop of penny-watching by a board still paying for their new home.
Chelsea ought to fare better than them and certainly be better than last season but Pochettino has a mess to unpick and it may not happen overnight.
Villa boss Unai Emery looks to have had an excellent summer with Pau Torres comfortable on the left side of a back three or four, Youri Tielemans to add an option in midfield and Moussa Diaby winning plaudits galore after arriving from Leverkusen.
Throw in the fact that Diego Carlos is fit after missing most of last season, youngsters Jaden Philogene and Cameron Archer have come on in leaps and bounds after seasons on loan, Ollie Watkins is a top, top centre-forward and they have the division’s best keeper, and all is looking rosy.
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