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Premier League 2023/24 top goalscorer predictions & special bets!
Alex Wrigley
Alex Wrigley
August 3, 2023
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Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.

We’ve already published our Premier League winner predictions and our relegation tips and next up we turn our attention to the coveted Golden Boot award, as well as throwing in a few specials we fancy from the markets.

Manchester City newcomer Erling Haaland smashed every record under the sun in his first Premier League season and the Norwegian sharpshooter is a large odds-on favourite to top the goalscoring charts again, but there is plenty of value to be found in an each-way market paying out four places.

All our bets below are priced up with bet365, where new customers can claim up to £30 in free bets to use on our season outright tips!

Premier League top goalscorer odds

  • Erling Haaland – 8/13
  • Harry Kane – 7/1
  • Mohamed Salah – 8/1
  • Darwin Nunez – 16/1
  • Marcus Rashford – 16/1
  • Gabriel Jesus – 25/1
  • Christopher Nkunku – 25/1
  • Ollie Watkins – 25/1

Premier League top goalscorer predictions

Darwin Nunez eachway at 16/1

It wasn’t exactly plain sailing for Liverpool last season and that bumpy ride extended to summer-signing Darwin Nunez, but there is hope for the Uruguayan yet.

The 24-year-old managed nine goals in his debut campaign but, providing he remains first choice, he could expand on that significantly in 2023/24.

Not even Erling Haaland registered higher than Nunez’s 0.93 non-penalty expected goals and assists per 90 minutes last season and he could reap the benefits of a revamped Liverpool midfield, which should offer much more creativity than in past seasons.

He scored 32 goals for Benfica in 2021/22, so clearly has the finishing ability, and it could all come together for him this term.

Ollie Watkins eachway at 25/1

Erling Haaland just has to stay upright to retain his Golden Boot but even if he doesn’t there are places up for grabs in the top-scorer market with most firms going a quarter the first four each-way terms.

One player who jumps off the page at a nice price is Ollie Watkins, the Aston Villa frontman and penalty taker, who scored 15 last term and can build on that in an even better-looking team.

Unai Emery worked wonders with Villa after taking over in October and Watkins was a big beneficiary of the Spaniard’s arrival.

He scored 15 goals in 25 appearances after Emery was appointed, compared to a miserly tally of two in 12 while Steven Gerrard was in charge.

At 0.6 goals-per-game in that time, that would take his tally to 22.8 Premier League goals in a full 38-game season, which would have put him on the top-goalscorer podium in eight of the last ten seasons and in the top four in each of the last 13 campaigns.

Nicolas Jackson eachway at 40/1

At a much fancier price and even more appealing is Nicolas Jackson at Chelsea.

The 22-year-old Senegalese striker was arguably signed as one for the future but Maricio Pochettino has used Jackson a lot in pre-season and always at the top of his attacking four.

Jackson has scored a couple in friendlies to add to the 12 he managed for Villarreal last season, a pretty good return for a player who only started 16 matches.

Premier League special bets

West Ham to finish in the bottom half at 4/6

Improvements at West Ham are likely to be thin on the ground with Declan Rice gone and another Thursday-weekend European campaign to juggle.

There’s money to burn at the London Stadium but very little encouragement that David Moyes, or those above him, know quite how to spend it. And Lucas Paqueta may not be hanging around either.

West Ham finished in the bottom half last season and probably will again.

Fulham +46 handicap eachway at 16/1

Fulham enjoyed a stellar season in 2022-24 but are forecast to fall off a cliff judged on a handicap mark of 46.

That’s a lack of faith in Marco Silva’s men that deserves addressing with a bet on the Lilywhites.

Silva has worked wonders with Fulham, picking up a handful of signings last season who absolutely hit it off, including Joao Palhinha, Willian and Issa Diop.

Palhinha’s shoulder injury means he misses the start of the season but should also ensure he sticks around at the Cottage until at least January.

It’s those creative gems like Willian and Andrea Pereira who really flourished last season and Raul Jimenez has arrived to spark life into a career that was going stale at Wolves.

Fulham probably won’t be challenging for the top six again this season but they look a perfectly decent each-way bet on the handicap getting 46 points off Man City and plenty from most of their rivals.

Build better bets with our free betting tips, predictions and accumulators, every day.

More betting news:

Premier League outright winner, top 4 and top 6 predictions

EFL 2023/24 outright winner treble!

Six Monday winners for FST including 18/1 overnight accumulator

FST’s 2023/24 outright predictions hub

Premier League 2023/24: Key fixtures & 30/1 opening day acca!

Betting Academy: See our complete guide to football betting

Be sure to check out our Free Bets page to get the best value possible from our Football Predictions for today as well as Tomorrow’s Football Predictions.

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