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Aston Villa vs Brentford Predictions

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  • Villa Park
Aston Villa
Brentford

Brentford to Win

Reason for tip

Brentford have claimed four points from their last two games, putting in two strong displays. Aston Villa haven’t won their last eight home meetings with London sides, losing six of those. The hosts have also lost six of their 11 league games this term.

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Brentford 2-1

Reason for tip

Aston Villa haven’t scored more than once across their last 11 home league games. Brentford have seen both teams score in four of their five away trips this term, but the visitors can outscore a limited Villa side.

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Ivan Toney To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Toney has scored six goals in his last six Premier League games and he’s hit eight goals this term. The striker has scored 30% of their goals in the division, so back him to add to that impressive haul.

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Aston Villa vs Brentford Predictions

  • Villa haven’t won in their last eight home meetings with London sides
  • The hosts haven’t scored more than once across their last 11 home league games
  • Brentford have claimed four points from their last two games
  • Toney has scored six goals in his last six league outings

What next for Villa?

Aston Villa sacked Steven Gerrard following their midweek loss at Fulham, with the supporters making no secret of their unhappiness after their 3-0 defeat. While Gerrard paid the price, the Villains have more problems to sort out.

They have a mismatched squad and a relegation battle to face, hardly the conditions likely to attract the kind of managers they’re reportedly after. Sacking Gerrard doesn’t seem to have fully appeased the fans, so don’t expect the Villa Park mood to be lifted on Sunday.

Opportunity for Bees

Brentford haven’t won away from home yet, but they head into this game off the back of a good week. They beat Brighton 2-0 last weekend before holding Chelsea to a 0-0 draw in midweek. The Bees are looking stronger at the back and in Ivan Toney they have a real scoring threat.

Toney has scored six goals in his last six Premier League games. Overall, the striker has scored 30% of their goals in the top flight, no player has scored a higher share of a team’s goals in the competition. Back him to add to his eight-goal haul this weekend.

Brentford are value bet

Villa haven’t won their last eight Premier League home clashes with London sides, losing six of those. They’ve also won just two of their last eight home games, while they’ve only beaten Southampton and Everton – two sides who were in awful shape when they visited Villa Park.

Villa have scored just nine goals in their last 11 home league games, and never more than twice in a match. They’ve struck only four goals at home this term and their change in manager isn’t likely to make them clinical overnight.

Brentford head here looking better defensively and more clinical than Villa, so the visitors are the value pick for a win in this trip. With the Bees seeing both teams score in 80% of their away games, I’m backing a 2-1 away win.

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