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Benfica vs Real Madrid Predictions

Published on 3:15pm GMT 16 February 2026

  • 20:00
  • Expired
  • Estadio da Luz
Benfica
Real Madrid
  • Amazon Prime

Draw and Both Teams To Score

Reason for tip

Benfica clinched their place in the Champions League playoffs in astonishing fashion last month with a 4-2 win over Real Madrid and another lively encounter can be expected when the pair meet in this rematch. The Eagles progressed on goal difference in 24th spot of the standings, only after goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin had headed in the winner deep into added time. Real will be out for revenge but wily old Benfica boss Jose Mourinho will have other ideas and this match could finish all square.

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Draw 2-2

Reason for tip

The three previous meetings between before that classic encounter had seen both teams score, with each tie featuring three or more goal and another goal-laden contest looks likely in the first leg of this playoff. Real will be desperate to exact their revenge for last month’s loss which knocked them out of the automatic qualification place but that could open up things for Benfica to create chances too.  A 2-2 scoreline looks well within reach as these two slug it out in Lisbon.

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Benfica vs Real Madrid Predictions

  • Real’s only loss in their last seven matches was to Benfica in the Champions League
  • The La Liga giants have scored at least two goals in each of their last 14 matches
  • Benfica are unbeaten in eight of their last nine matches on home soil

Mourinho can frustrate his former side

Real Madrid are still smarting following last month’s epic 4-2 loss to Benfica and their revenge mission may come up short when the pair lock horns in this playoff first leg in Lisbon.

Benfica keeper Anatoliy Trubin headed in a stoppage-time fourth goal to secure the Eagles a place in the playoff round on goal difference, knocking out Marseille along the way and thwarting Madrid’s chances of an automatic place in the last 16.

The wild celebrations that followed Trubin’s decisive goal didn’t go down well with Los Blancos, and they will be hell-bent on making amends at the Estadio da Luz on Tuesday.

The La Liga giants are in great form and there only loss in their last seven was last month’s Champions League epic against Benfica, but if anyone can stop them taking their revenge than it is former boss Jose Mourinho.

He will have his Benfica side set up not to lose but Real will be hard to stop and a lively contest could play out.

Backing a draw in which both teams score looks a solid bet and 2-2 looks the way to go for correct-score punters.

Real have scored at least two goals in each of their last 14 matches, but on home soil Benfica can match them stride-for-stride.

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