Bohemians vs Derry City Predictions

• 63% of Bohemians’ home games end with under 2.5 goals
• Derry won reverse fixture 1-0
• Four of their last five meetings have ended with under 2.5

Low-Scoring Affair Expected as Bohemians Host Derry City

4th-place Bohemians host 3rd-place Derry City this Friday evening in the Ireland Premier Division. Both teams are level on points, with Derry ahead only due to a slightly better goal difference. All signs point towards a low-scoring game. Bohemians have the lowest percentage of matches with over 2.5 goals in the league—just 38%. They keep things tight at the back, conceding on average just one goal per game. Only league leaders Shamrock Rovers have a better defensive record.

That solid backline has been a key factor in their recent good form, with Bohemians winning four of their last five home matches. A 2-1 defeat to Waterford was the only blip during that run. These sides met earlier this season in Round 2, and it was a dull affair settled by Michael Duffy’s tenth-minute free kick, giving Derry a 1-0 win. Another low-scoring game is expected here, and we recommend backing under 2.5 goals.

There wasn’t much to separate the sides last time, and it’s clear they are evenly matched. There were few clear goal-scoring opportunities, and with a similar contest expected, this one could well finish 0-0 after 90 minutes.