Burnley vs Arsenal Predictions

• Burnley have lost nine of 12 home league games and failed to score in five of them
• Arsenal have kept more clean sheets away from home than at the Emirates this season
• Leandro Trossard has scored in three of his last four appearances for the Gunners

Arteta has the workforce to exploit Kompany’s policy

Burnley’s brutal run of fixtures continues on Saturday when they host an in-form Arsenal fresh off a 6-0 away thumping of West Ham. The Clarets actually competed well in last Saturday’s 3-1 Anfield defeat, but Liverpool were much more clinical with their chances.

Vincent Kompany’s side initially fell behind when James Trafford misjudged another delivery into his box, but they levelled shortly after to show no lack of belief. This season has been a steep learning curve for many of Kompany’s players, but the manager has also shown himself to be a little naive at times.

The Belgian refuses to set his team up in a negative manner, even when going away to a place like Anfield where big beatings are often dished out to any opponent not on their game.  Burnley have not lost by more than two goals in any of their last 15 Premier League games, but this could be afternoon where the Clarets are punished.

Arsenal’s clean sheet prospects look good

Arsenal have scored a combined 16 goals in their last four league games and could have had more at London Stadium last Sunday had Alphonse Areola not been in such good form for the Hammers. Clearly West Ham had a major off day, but Arsenal’s desire to push for more and determination to keep a clean sheet was evident across the 90 minutes.

Like many of their Premier League rivals, Mikel Arteta’s side are not a clean-sheet machine at the moment. But the Gunners have blanked four of their seven bottom-half opponents on the road and can ensure a win to nil in this game too.

Arsenal’s last four league opponents have all failed to get above 0.5 expected goals (xG) while only two of their last 11 have taken that figure above 1.0.

Underlying stats suggest an easy away win

The Londoners may have won only two of their 12 away games by a margin of more than one goal, but everything clicked from back to front against West Ham. They produced their highest xG of the season (3.6) last Sunday and it was also the third time in the last four games that their expected goals figure had been above 3.2.

Leandro Trossard, who has bagged in three of his last four appearances, also looks like being a good shout to hit the back of the net again. His movement around the box and bravery to get in on knockdowns close to goal mark him out as someone who could profit if Burnley’s inability to deal with set pieces rears its head again.