Burnley vs Arsenal Predictions

  • 14:00
  • Expired
  • Turf Moor
Burnley
Arsenal

Under 2.5 Match Goals

4/5odds when tipped
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Draw 1-1

13/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Burnley and Arsenal have scored just four goals between them in the Premier League this season.
  • The last three meetings between these sides have featured a total of just three goals.
  • Burnley are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Arsenal, drawing 1-1 in their last encounter.

Clarets facing season of struggle

Burnley took the lead for the third time in four Premier League games on Monday but once again Sean Dyche’s side couldn’t hold on to their lead and they head into gameweek five just a point above bottom-of-the-table Norwich and without a win to their name.

The season is far from over, of course, but at the moment it isn’t looking promising for the Clarets and the best any fan can really hope for is to narrowly avoid the drop, although a result on Saturday is by no means out of the question.

Arsenal get off the mark

Arsenal picked up their first league win of the season last weekend as they narrowly beat the pointless Norwich but, while it is a step in the right direction, that victory will have done little to inspire confidence in Mikel Arteta.

Prior to that the Gunners were demolished 5-0 at the Etihad to make it three defeats from three this season, and that single goal against a Norwich side that had conceded ten goals in the previous three games was Arsenal’s first of the season.

Goals at a premium at Turf Moor

Given that these teams have scored just four Premier League goals between them this season it’s quite difficult to get excited by it from a neutral’s perspective, and the value could lie in backing the unders.

All but one of Arsenal’s league games this season have featured fewer than three goals and the one exception is when Pep Guardiola’s side went on a rampage. Unsurprisingly, I’m not expecting Burnley to do the same and with the last three meetings between these sides producing just three goals in total I’m backing under 2.5 goals.

I’m also expecting the hosts to get something from this game. They are unbeaten in three meetings with Arsenal and the Gunners’ last trip to Turf Moor ended in a 1-1 draw. With Burnley’s last home game also ending 1-1, that’s my choice for a correct score prediction.

Burnley predicted lineup: Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Gudmundsson, Westwood, Brownhill, McNeil; Wood, Barnes

Arsenal predicted lineup: Ramsdale; Tomiyasu, White, Magalhaes, Tierney; Lokonga, Maitland-Niles; Pepe, Odegaard, Saka; Aubameyang


  • Six of Burnley’s last eight Premier League home games have ended with both sides scoring
  • Arsenal are unbeaten on their last six visits to Burnley in the Premier League

Spotlight Insights combine the best data and editorial expertise to give you an extra angle.

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