Burnley vs Aston Villa Predictions

  • 18:00
  • Expired
  • Turf Moor
Aston Villa
  • BT Sport 2

Under 2.5 Match Goals

10/11odds when tipped
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Aston Villa 1-0

15/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Burnley have scored just five times in eight home league games
  • 75% of the Claret’s home matches this term have seen fewer than three goals
  • Villa have seen under 2.5 goals in three of their last four league games
  • The visitors have conceded only seven goals in their nine away trips

Both sides fresh from big wins

These two sides are on a high coming into this clash, following good results of late. Aston Villa returned from their COVID-enforced break to beat Newcastle 2-0.

Meanwhile, Burnley followed up their 1-0 win at Anfield by beating Fulham 3-0 in the FA Cup. Sean Dyche has made an impression with the Clarets of late, but can they maintain that in this clash?

Burnley’s binary run

While the Clarets won 3-0 at Fulham at the weekend, their Premier League results haven’t been quite as thrilling. Each of the hosts’ last five matches have finished 1-0. That’s certainly in fitting with Burnley’s reputation as a solid, unspectacular side.

The hosts have been their usual solid selves at Turf Moor this term. Burnley have conceded just eight times in eight home games, while they’ve scored only five goals at the other end. That’s seen 75% of their home matches finish with fewer than three goals scored. Overall, Turf Moor has seen fewer goals scored than any other Premier League ground this season.

Villa can grind out result

Aston Villa come here with an impressive record defensively on the road. The Villains have conceded only seven goals in their nine trips to date, so goals could be in short supply at Turf Moor this week.

Three of Villa’s last four matches in the league have seen under 2.5 goals scored, so that’s likely to continue in this visit to the league’s lowest scoring ground. With Burnley likely to frustrate and Villa giving little away at the back, we see value in backing under 2.5 goals in Wednesday night’s clash.

On top of that, we think that Villa can edge this encounter. Burnley have lost three of their last five Premier League games 1-0 and Villa have won to nil in all of their visits to bottom half sides this term. As a result, we’re backing a 1-0 away win as our correct score prediction.

Burnley injuries and team news

Burnley are close to full-strength, with the hosts only set to miss full-back Charlie Taylor ahead of this clash.

Aston Villa injuries and team news

Kourtney Hause is out for Aston Villa, but the visitors will welcome back John McGinn from suspension in midfield.

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