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Paraguay vs Australia Predictions

Published on 9:38am GMT 25 June 2026

  • 02:00
  • Expired
  • San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Paraguay
Australia
  • ITV4
  • ITVX

Australia Draw No Bet

Reason for tip

Australia did better than Paraguay against both USA and Turkiye and have the players to hurt them if the coach gets his selection right. A draw would see both teams through to the last-32, so Draw no Bet is advised for safety.

11/8odds when tipped
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Australia 2-1

Reason for tip

Australia beat Turkiye 2-0 with a fairly even expected goals (xG) in the game. They limited USA to an xG of around 1 in their clash while Paraguay were trounced 4-1 by the co-hosts and were significantly inferior on xG to Paraguay. The South Americans have conceded two or more goals in five of their last nine games, but have scored in seven straight, so back the Socceroos to win 2-1.

16/1odds when tipped
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Nestory Irankunda To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Nestory Irankunda has scored six goals in 17 international games, many as a substitute, and he can hurt Paraguay with his powerful direct running.

15/4odds when tipped
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Paraguay vs Australia Predictions

  • Australia have never lost to Paraguay
  • Paraguay have only had three shots on target in their two group games.

Draw will do for both in Group D

A draw may suit both teams in Santa Clara when Paraguay and Australia face off for the chance to finish second behind the USA in Group D. La Albirroja revived their World Cup fortunes with a determined, defensive display against Turkiye at the same venue on Saturday, digging in for a 1-0 victory when down to 10 men.

They scored the fastest goal of the tournament so far when Matias Galarza smashed home a shot from outside the box, but his Atlanta United teammate Miguel Almiron will now be suspended for the idiotic red-card offence of covering his mouth.

The ex-Newcastle star will be missed for this match against an Australian side who were sloppy in Seattle against the cohesive co-hosts. Tony Popovic blatantly got his selection wrong when he left out Nestory Irankunda and Connor Metcalfe, the Socceroos’ scorers against Turkiye.

Popovic must pick the right players

Their play drastically improved after Irankunda and Sassuolo winger Cristian Volpato were introduced in the second half, but the damage was done by then.  Expect a better showing if Popovic gets some pace and penetration back into his side.

Australia are the higher-ranked team and had better results than Paraguay against both other group opponents but are longer in the betting – probably because they lost two friendlies against South American sides in November.

The relevance of those games to this crucial contest seems pretty minimal and the price difference makes the Aussies good value in the Draw no Bet market, which has to be taken into consideration given the group situation.

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