Derby vs Portsmouth Predictions

Rams can pick off another struggler

Derby should be backed to beat Portsmouth at Pride Park on Saturday. The visitors have lost five times in their last six away games in the Championship and that run could continue here.

Derby are 12th in the Championship, nine places and ten points above Portsmouth, with eight wins, six draws and seven defeats from their 21 games this season. The visitors are 21st with five wins, five draws and ten losses.

Derby have conceded an average of just 0.60 goals a game in their five Championship games against teams in the bottom six this season, and have avoided defeat in eight of their ten matches against these sides. In contrast, Portsmouth are yet to win in four away games against top-half teams.

Portsmouth are out of form, and backing their opponents during their current run of four defeats in six Championship games would have resulted in a profit of 2.40 units.

Derby have scored in 11 successive Championship games, finding the net in 18 of their last 20. They have averaged 1.60 goals a game in their ten matches against bottom-half teams this season, including a 3-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday on Monday.

Portsmouth’s recent results do not inspire confidence, with no wins in their last eight Championship away games. They have lost four of the last six matches and are currently on a run of four straight defeats on the road.

Scoring is proving to be a problem for Portsmouth’s forward line, with the visitors struggling to find the net in three of their last four Championship away games. They have lost three of those games without scoring.

Portsmouth have conceded in each of their last six Championship road trips and have failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their last 15 league games. They have shipped 15 goals away from home this season – an average of 1.67 goals per game from nine matches.

A 2-0 home win for Derby looks a decent correct-score option.

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Edited by Mark Langdon