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Empoli vs AC Milan Predictions

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • Stadio Carlo Castellani
AC Milan

Empoli Double Chance (Win or Draw)

11/10odds when tipped
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Draw 1-1

13/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • AC Milan’s title challenge has stalled in recent weeks; they’ve lost three of their last seven in the league, to slip four points behind rivals Inter.
  • Milan have managed lower expected goals tallies than their opponents in each of their last three matches, and are still blighted by injuries.
  • Empoli have gone unbeaten in six matches, lost just one of their last nine, and earned shock wins over a number of Italy’s big boys this season.

Rossoneri’s title bid fading?

AC Milan will no doubt be feeling aggrieved after seeing VAR controversially disallow Franck Kessie’s late strike against title rivals Napoli, but that 1-0 defeat has made it three losses, and just three wins, in their last seven Serie A games. AC Milan remain blighted by selection issues, and are seeing their Scudetto challenge fade before their eyes.

Stefano Pioli’s team were able to welcome back the likes of Olivier Giroud and Alexis Saelemaekers from injury against Napoli, but remained without influential captain Simon Kjaer and speedy left-back Lucas Hernandez. Concerningly, Milan’s last three games, home defeats to Napoli and a weakened Liverpool team, as well as a last-gasp draw at Udinese, have all seen them create lower expected goals tallies than their opponents.

If Milan’s title charge is running out of steam as Christmas approaches, a trip to high-pressing Empoli is not the ideal fixture for Pioli’s men. Empoli are ninth in the table and unbeaten in six matches, a run which includes a fine 1-0 win at Napoli, a thrilling 4-3 victory at Verona, and impressive home wins over Fiorentina and Udinese.

Newly-promoted hosts to spring a surprise?

Milan’s flakey recent form should be enough to turn many punters away from them, particularly given the short price around Pioli’s team. Milan’s only away league win since Halloween came at hapless Genoa, and they look like a team which seriously needs the upcoming winter break.

Backing Empoli, who’ve already stunned Juventus, Fiorentina, and Napoli this term, to earn a result on the double chance market, is a brave yet good value play for Wednesday night. A 1-1 draw could perhaps represent a decent correct score prediction, with Milan looking a shadow of the team that went unbeaten in the first 12 games of the campaign.

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