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Estonia vs Moldova Predictions

Published on 4:50pm GMT 12 October 2025

  • 16:00
  • 14
  • A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia
Moldova

Both Teams To Score

Reason for tip

These two sides have conceded 41 times between them in this qualifying group. Moldova have failed to keep a clean sheet all year, but they have scored in visits to Romania and Norway in their previous two games. Estonia haven’t kept a home clean sheet since November 2022, so back both sides to score.

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Draw 1-1

Reason for tip

Estonia’s 3-2 win in Moldova earlier this year featured red cards for both sides, which played into a back-and-forth game. The pair each overperformed their xG in that game, so back a lower-scoring result in the reverse clash. Moldova lost only two of 10 games in 2024, so back them to end their losing streak this year with a point.

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Estonia vs Moldova Predictions

  • Estonia’s last home clean sheet came almost three years ago
  • The two sides have conceded a combined 41 goals in this qualifying group
  • That includes Estonia’s 3-2 win when the pair met in March
  • Moldova have scored in visits to Norway and Romania in their last two games

Back against two shaky backlines

Estonia were 3-2 winners when these two sides met earlier in this qualifying campaign, which is the only time either side has avoided defeat. Both Estonia and Moldova have been there to make up the numbers as Norway and Italy fight for top spot.

Both sides have dire defensive records behind them, as Estonia have shipped 16 goals in six games, while Moldova have conceded 25 in their five.

Estonia’s 3-1 loss to Italy at the weekend continued their tough year, while it extended their wait for a first home clean sheet since November 2022. The hosts haven’t recorded a shutout in a home qualifier since October 2021.

While Moldova are struggling, they have scored in successive trips to Norway and Romania. After scoring twice in the reverse meeting, they should be confident of extending Estonia’s run of conceding at home.

There’s nothing but pride on the line, while the two will play out their campaigns with difficult assignments next month. As a result, back both teams to score and a share of the spoils.

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