Famalicao vs Desportivo Aves Predictions

• Over 2.5 goals were scored when these two sides locked horns in August.
• Over 2.5 goals have been produced in 3 of Famalicao’s last 4 matches.
• Over 2.5 goals have been produced in 4 of Aves’ last 5 matches.
• Famalicao have won 5 home games this season while Aves have only won 1 on the road.

Famalicao need to put an end to their winless run

Famalicao drew 1-1 with Benfica in midweek but that result wasn’t enough to overcome their 1st leg deficit and Sunday’s hosts missed out on their first-ever appearance in a cup final, while Aves were hammered 4-0 in their own backyard in the league by Rio Ave last weekend. Bottom of the table Aves head into Sunday’s match as the slight form favourites despite only winning two and losing four of their last six outings, as Famalicao have lost three and drawn three of their last six matches.

Plenty of goals have been scored in games involving these sides recently, with three of Famalicao’s last four and four of Aves’ last five matches all producing over 2.5 goals, as did the pairs’ last encounter against one another back in August, so you can see why we have predicted that over 2.5 goals will be produced in Sunday’s clash.

Famalicao have a good record at home in the Primeira Liga, despite their poor recent run of form, with the hosts securing five wins in their own backyard and just three defeats. Aves, on the other hand, have only won once on the road, losing a whopping nine of their ten away games so far this season. The hosts average 1.70 points per home game while the visitors average just 0.30 points per away game, which is why we have backed Famalicao to win on Sunday.

Aves have only picked up points in one of their ten away games this season

The hosts score an average of 1.90 goals per home game and concede 1.90 goals while the visitors score an average of 1.10 goals per away game and concede 2.50 goals, which is why we have backed a final scoreline of 2-1 in Famalicao’s favour this Sunday. Both teams have scored in 60% of Famalicao’s home matches as well as in 80% of the visitors’ trips on the road, with over 2.5 goals being scored in 70% of Famalicao’s home games and 80% of Aves’ away trips.

Famailcao have only kept clean sheets in 20% of their home games this season while Aves have only failed to score in 20% of their away games, but the visitors are yet to keep a single clean sheet on the road. Exactly 3-goals have been scored in 40% of Aves’ away games and a majority of the visitors’ defeats this season (13) have been via a 1-goal margin, while a majority of Famalicao’s wins (5) have been obtained with a 1-goal margin which ties in perfectly with our prediction.

We’re confident that over 2.5 goals will be scored this Sunday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of the hosts. Famalicao might be in poor form right now but they go up against an Aves side that sit bottom of the table and have been terrible on the road this season, which is why we believe the hosts will do just enough to claim all 3pts on Sunday.