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FC Porto vs Braga Predictions

Portugal Primeira | Estadio Do Dragao | 17th January
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FC Porto
KO 19:00
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FC Porto vs Braga predictions for Friday’s match in the Primeira Liga. Porto face a potentially tricky home game against Braga on Friday night. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
FC Porto to Win @ 8/13

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
FC Porto 1-0 @ 7/1

Reason For FC Porto vs Braga Predictions

  • Porto are unbeaten in their last eight encounters with Braga, picking up six wins during that period.
  • Porto have won their last six matches in all competitions and haven’t lost since early September.
  • Braga sit 17 points behind Porto following a below-par first half to the campaign.
  • Braga have lost half their away games in the Primeira Liga this season.

Porto are yet to lose or even concede at home in the league

Porto have a good record against Braga and have outperformed Friday’s visitors so far this season. The Portuguese giants have won 37 of their last 57 matches against Braga and with six wins from their last six games in all competitions, the hosts head into Friday’s clash as the bookmakers’ favourites to secure all three points.

The hosts have won all seven home games in the Primeira Liga this term and have only lost one of their 13 matches this season, while Braga have lost 50% of their away games. Astonishingly, Porto are yet to concede in their own backyard and score an average of 2.57 goals per home game. But with Braga only conceding an average of 1.00 goals per away game, we have backed a 1-0 win for the hosts this Friday.

Just 25% of Braga’s away games have produced over 2.5 goals and only 38% of those matches have seen both teams score. Braga might not be in the same vein of form as their hosts but the visitors have won four of their last six matches and should prove a tough nut to crack.

Braga don’t concede a lot of goals on the road

Porto have scored 18 goals at home so far but Braga have only conceded eight on the road, so we’re not expecting a goal-fest this Friday. All of Porto’s home games this season have featured over 0.5 goals while the same can be said about 88% of Braga’s away games, so the chances are that if Porto do win 1-0 on Friday, the goal is likely to be scored during the first 45 minutes. As mentioned above, Porto have kept clean sheets in all their home games and Braga have failed to score in 38% of their away games in the Primeira Liga; on each of those occasions they have gone on to lose-to-nil.

Exactly one goal has been scored in 38% of Braga’s away games this season and, while the hosts are used to higher-scoring matches in their own backyard, we are expecting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the pair this Friday. A majority of Porto’s wins this season (8) have been obtained with a margin of two goals or more. But five of their wins had a one-goal margin, while a majority of Sporting Braga’s defeats (4) had a one-goal margin, which ties in with our prediction for a 1-0 victory for the hosts.

The hosts head into the match as the form favourites, having outperformed their guests in all departments, and with a dominating lead in the head-to-head record between the two clubs. However, Braga have improved of late and look as if they will challenge for fourth spot and possibly a top-three finish, so we are expecting a close game.

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Article by: James K
Published: January 16, 2020

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