Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg Predictions

Freiburg will be very happy with the start they’ve made to the Bundesliga season. They have recorded 3 wins and a draw in their opening 5 league games. Their impressive start has left them sitting in 4th place after 5 games.

This weekend they will face a Fortuna Dusseldorf side who haven’t won since their opening game of the season.

Freiburg have been impressive in front of goal this season. Their goal tally currently stands at a total of 11. Only the Bundesliga’s ‘big 3’ of Bayern, Dortmund and RB Leipzig have been more prolific in front of goal.

Freiburg’s form in front of goal stretches into last season. They have scored in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga games.

Despite losing more games, Fortuna have been even more prolific in front of goal than Freiburg in 2019. Fortuna have impressively managed to score in 15 of their last 16 Bundesliga games.

Both of these teams have a good track record in the final third in recent Bundesliga games. We feel that both teams scoring has a high likelihood in this fixture.

Neither of these teams are strangers to high-scoring fixtures. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 15 of Fortuna’s last 17 games. While there have also been over 2.5 goals scored in Freiburg’s last 6 away games. We feel that as well as both teams scoring, you can expect over 2.5 goals to be scored here.

While Fortuna have clearly struggled more than Freiburg so far this season, they have also had a more difficult start. Freiburg’s 3 losses this season have come in games versus Bayer Leverkusen, Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Monchengladbach. All 3 of these teams compete in Europe and are of considerable quality.

While Freiburg have undeniably impressed this season, they are yet to play a team that are currently in the top half of the table. We feel these sides are much closer in terms of quality and ability than the table would have you believe.

Freiburg’s away form is an issue that manager Christian Streitch will seek to rectify this season. The signs have been good so far, as they have won 2 from 2 away this season. However, Freiburg managed just 2 away wins in the entirety of last season. Fortuna away will be a good test for Streitch’s side.

Ultimately, Fortuna’s style of play doesn’t match well for Freiburg. Fortuna have held an average of 41% possession this season, and play the most long-balls per game. Freiburg have been much better this season when playing vs teams who keep the majority of the possession.

Their most comfortable win of the season was a 3-0 victory over Hoffenheim. Hoffenheim held 69% of the possession in this game.

Freiburg have only dominated possession in 3 games this season. Their only draw and loss respectively came in 2 of these 3 games. They had to wait until the last 10 minutes to score in the third.

Freiburg will very likely be forced to dominate the possession in this game. This will make it a difficult game for them. We feel that this game could result finish with a 2-2 draw.