Hull City vs Coventry Predictions

• Hull have conceded 71.4 Expected Goals this season
• The hosts have lost all three home clashes with sides above them, conceding nine goals
• Coventry have scored three times in three of their previous four

Sky Blues to continue promotion charge

Coventry City are now only eight points shy of securing a place in the Premier League, and they could be even closer come kick-off based on Monday afternoon’s results.

Frank Lampard’s side won 3-2 at home to Derby on Friday, and they face another play-off contender in the second-leg of their Easter weekend double header.

Hosts Hull have been defying their Expected Goals numbers all season, sitting fifth in the table despite boasting the 23rd best record in terms of underlying numbers. Those shortcomings have been clear against the league’s top teams, as they’ve lost all three home meetings with sides above them.

They’ve shipped nine goals across their home defeats against Millwall, Middlesbrough, and Ipswich. Meanwhile, opponents Coventry have scored three times in three of their last four games.

Hull’s home games have seen 3.2 goals per game on average, while over 2.5 has landed in seven of Coventry’s 10 away wins. The Sky Blues have scored four or more in wins at both of their fellow top-three rivals and play-off hopefuls Derby. With the Tigers shipping an incredible 71.4 xG this term, back Coventry to win a high-scoring game.