- King Power Stadium
- BT Sport 1
- BT Sport Ultimate
- Over 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in 16 of Leicester’s last 20 games in all competitions.
- There have been at least three goals scored in 11 of Leeds’ last 13 games.
- Leeds have lost five of their last eight trips in the league and have conceded at least three goals in five of their last six.
- Jamie Vardy returned from a nine-game absence with a goal and an assist at Burnley.
Leeds begin post-Bielsa era
Jesse Marsch begins his tenure as Leeds boss after replacing Marcelo Bielsa with a tough trip to Leicester City in the Premier League’s early kick off on Saturday.
When a new manager takes charge there is often a reaction and Leeds could really do with a new boss bounce after a run of just one point from the last 18 available.
The Foxes ended their own five-game winless run in the league by claiming a 2-0 midweek win at Burnley, and overall they have picked up with three wins in their last five after winning both legs of their Europa Conference League tie with Randers.
Both sides have a few injury issues and Leeds are still missing key pair Patrick Bamford and Kalvin Phillips. Leicester’s own issues have eased as Jamie Vardy returned from a nine-game absence in style with a goal and an assist in a 19 minute cameo against the Clarets, but defensive duo Jonny Evans and Timothy Castagne remain sidelined.
Marsch will need time to resolve leaky backline
If Leeds hadn’t opted to change manager I’d be confidently backing a home win but that does bring in an element of doubt, so instead the goals markets look the best option and over 2.5 goals looks a strong starting point for the main bet.
Leeds became the first Premier League side to concede over 20 goals in a calendar month in February and those issues at the back require more than a quick fix.
Over 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in 16 of Leicester’s last 20 games in all competitions and in 11 of Leeds’ last 13, so we should expect plenty of goals in this early kick off on Saturday.
Home win still appeals
Leicester should go into this game in confident mood after their 2-0 win at Burnley and their home record hasn’t been too bad overall with 18 points from 12 games.
Leeds have lost seven of their 13 Premier League away games and have five defeats in their last eight trips in the league. Leeds have also conceded at least three goals in five of their last six trips so a 3-1 win for the hosts has some appeal in the correct score market. I am anticipating some kind of reaction from the visitors and they should be able to get on the scoresheet against a defence that has just one clean sheet in their last nine games, but the Foxes have enough quality in attack to win fairly comfortably.
Finally, an anytime goal from Vardy looks a reasonable option here after his effort against the Clarets. The striker may have to settle for a place on the bench again after his spell on the sidelines but if he is introduced in the second half he can cause Leeds a few problems with his pace.
- Eight of Leeds’ last nine Premier League away games have ended with over 2.5 goals
- Leeds have lost their last three Premier League games, with over 3.5 goals in each
Spotlight Insights combine the best data and editorial expertise to give you an extra angle.
- 6 Jul
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