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Liverpool vs Leeds Predictions

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • Anfield
Liverpool
Leeds

Liverpool -2

13/10odds when tipped
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Liverpool 4-0

10/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Liverpool have the third-best shots-on-target record recorded in Premier League history
  • The Reds have won 100% of their home clashes with bottom-half sides, scoring 17 and conceding two
  • The visitors have conceded 50 times this season, including 15 across three trips to top four teams

Liverpool’s title hopes return

At 4:10pm on Saturday, Liverpool’s title hopes looked completely out the window. The Reds – who started the day at 6/1 to win the league – trailed bottom club Norwich after an hour at Anfield. Their comeback, alongside Man City’s loss to Tottenham, has lifted their title hopes. Now a win on Wednesday can put them within three points of top spot.

Liverpool have won their last three Premier League home games against Leeds, netting 10 goals in the process. On the basis of the visitors’ loss to United at the weekend, this is likely to be another tough trip.

Dominant Reds in full flow

Liverpool are averaging 19.3 shots per game in the Premier League this season, while they are averaging seven shots on target per game in the Premier League this term; a return only bettered by Arsenal in 1999-00 (7.4) and Chelsea in 2009-10 (7.6).

The hosts have now won each of their last eight games, including five straight wins in the Premier League. They’ve won 13 of their last 15 meetings with bottom-half sides – including a perfect seven from seven at home. They have won those seven 17-2 on aggregate, so expect them to outclass Leeds.

Back Leeds to be blown away

Liverpool are the only side unbeaten at home in the Premier League this season (W9 D3), and have conceded a league-low seven goals at Anfield so far this term. They’ve won by three or more goals on four occasions at home this season, scoring three goals in three straight home league games.

Leeds have conceded at least twice in each of their last five Premier League away games, shipping 18 goals in total. The visitors have also shipped 50 goals this term, while they’ve conceded 15 times across three visits to the current top four.

Those trips account for Leeds’ two defeats by four or more goals. Meanwhile, Liverpool are posting impressive numbers going forward and they keep racking up goals. Given their home record and Leeds’ struggles at the back, I’m going with Liverpool -2 and 4-0 correct score prediction.

Liverpool predicted lineup: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson; Keita, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Mane, Diaz

Leeds predicted lineup: Meslier; Ayling, Llorente, Struijk, Firpo; Forshaw, Dallas; Raphinha, Rodrigo, Harrison; James

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