Metz vs Montpellier Predictions

• Metz have the highest xG against of all Ligue 1 clubs when at home.
• Only Lyon have a higher xG against when away than Montpellier this season.
• Montpellier have conceded at least twice in three of their last four away trips.
• Metz’s last Ligue 1 home game featured six goals.

Metz and Montpellier lack dominant defences 

Metz will aim to extend their four-game unbeaten run and move away from the relegation zone when they take on an out-of-form Montpellier side at Stade Saint-Symphorien.

The Maroons earned their first league win in two months last weekend with a battling away display at Nice that saw right wing-back Fabien Centoze score the only goal.

Frederic Antonetti’s side have been much better on the road than when in front of their own fans this season, so shouldn’t be considered favourites for this game in our estimation. They benefitted from Bordeaux being reduced to ten men in their last home match to earn a 3-3 draw and backing goals again here may be the best route to profit.

Although two clubs in Ligue 1 have conceded more, Metz have the highest xG against of all 20 when at home. Similarly, Montpellier’s underlying stats make them the second worst for the quality of chances created against them when on their travels.

Savanier’s return should help visitors

This feels like a recipe for a few goals on Wednesday and attracts us to the price about over 2.5 in the match. the visitors should have playmaker Teji Savanier back in their ranks after suspension, which could help them maintain an average of a goal per game on the road.

La Paillade have conceded at least twice in five of their seven away trips this season – and have looked particularly susceptible since an injury to centre-back Maxime Esteve, so we are favouring a 2-1 outcome in correct score betting.

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