Millwall vs Newcastle Predictions

• Newcastle have conceded twice in three of their first four matches
• The hosts have scored nine goals in those four games
• Millwall have generated 10.3 xG, conceding 7.2, across their five Championship outings

Magpies have defensive issues despite fine start

Millwall returned to form with a 4-0 victory over Bolton at the weekend, putting them back in the playoff picture in the Championship. Now they have the chance to test themselves against top-flight opposition, as they host Newcastle in the Carabao Cup.

The Magpies have made an encouraging start to life under new boss Matthias Jaissle, but Saturday’s 2-2 draw with Bournemouth was the third time they’ve conceded two goals this season.

Newcastle also drew 2-2 at home to Liverpool in their opener, before a 3-2 victory against West Brom in the last round of the cup. The visitors have at least looked good going forward, netting nine times in their four matches under Jaissle’s watch.

The Lions have had an up-and-down start, but they’ve generated 10.3 Expected Goals while conceding 7.2 across their first five league games. Their cup campaign started with a 1-1 draw at QPR, and both teams to score looks like the best option here.