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Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Predictions

TV
England Championship | The City Ground | 8th February
Nottingham Forest badge
Nottingham Forest
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
KO 17:30
Leeds badge
Leeds
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds predictions for Saturday’s televised Championship fixture at City Ground. Will either of these promotion chasing teams come out on top? Read below for our free Championship predictions and tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Leeds to Win and Under 3.5 Match Goals @ 13/8

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Leeds 1-0 @ 7/1

Reason For Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Predictions

  • Leeds top the table when it comes to both shots and shots on target away from home.
  • Leeds are the only Championship team to go beyond 700 touches in the opposition box this season.
  • No team has kept more travelling clean sheets in the Championship than Leeds this season.
  • Nottingham Forest are the second worst team in the league when it comes to shots on target for at home.

Forest in form at home

Nottingham Forest continue to push for promotion, though they come into what will be an incredibly tough home game off the back of a disappointing defeat last time out. That said, it’s been a while since Forest tasted defeat at home, so they should still be feeling upbeat.

Sabri Lamouchi’s men haven’t been amazing at home all season, as the fact that they have only the 12th best home record suggests, but they’ve done well of late, avoiding defeat in each of their last four at City Ground, three of which they’ve won. However, for all they are in good form at home, Saturday’s hosts haven’t been up against it in terms of fixture difficulty. None of their last four opponents at home are in the top eight, while only one is the top half at present. Forest’s home record against top-half teams is patchy at best. They’ve won two, lost three and drawn one.

Leeds look to bounce back

Winners of just one of their last five, Leeds have dropped back towards the chasing pack. They remain in a favourable position inside the top two, though they are far less comfortable than they were a month ago.

On the face of it, it would be easy to say that Leeds are slipping, but we shouldn’t overreact to recent results. Yes, they continue to be wasteful in front of goal, but they’re outplaying teams and are still creating an awful lot. Moreover, Saturday’s visitors have been the recipients of some incredibly poor luck in recent weeks.

Overall, Leeds remain one of the very best in this division. They top the charts in terms of clean sheets, shots for, shots on target for and touches in the opposition box, while they rank 2nd in terms of shots against, shots on target against, goals for and goals conceded.

Visitors to edge it

Given their recent results, Leeds could be opposed here, but when we dig a little deeper, they look the team to side with. Specifically, ‘Leeds to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ catches the eye. Firstly, neither side have made a habit of regularly being involved in overly high-scoring games. More than three goals have gone in in just 13% of Leeds’ travelling matches, while four or more have been scored in 21% of Nottingham Forest’s game at home. Moving on the hosts haven’t been great at home against the better sides, while their underlying figures don’t make for great reading. Forest are the second-worst team in terms of shots on target for at home, while they have an average-shots on target supremacy of -0.78. In contrast, Leeds are the best away team when it comes to shots on target for, while they have a supremacy of +1.27. The visitors are also averaging just under ten touches in the opposition box more per 90 than Nottingham Forest.

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