Olympiacos vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

• Leverkusen have started 2026 with consecutive defeats
• The visitors have conceded 4.1 xG across those two games, and they struggled to create chances in their last defeat
• Olympiakos have some strong underlying numbers in Europe this term, particularly at home

Unhappy New Year for Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen are enduring a rough start to 2026, after suffering consecutive Bundesliga defeats. Kasper Hjulmand’s side were beaten 4-1 by Stuttgart in their return to league action, before falling short against Hoffenheim at the weekend.

Leverkusen notably struggled to create chances on Saturday, creating just 0.19 xG from open play. They’ve also conceded a combined 4.1 xG across their first two games of the year, so this could be an opportunity for an Olympiakos side that is just two points off the pace in the race to qualify.

Olympiakos claimed their first Champions League win of the campaign in December, with a 1-0 victory at Kairat. However, they won the xG battle in home draws with Pafos and PSV, while they matched Real Madrid in a 4-3 defeat in November.

Olympiakos have created 5.1 xG across their three home games in Europe this season. With Leverkusen starting 2026 with two concerning defeats – performing poorly in each – the hosts are good value for the points.