Pacos Ferreira vs Famalicao Predictions

• Famalicao have won 4 of their 6 previous matches against Pacos Ferreira.
• Pacos Ferreira have lost 5 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.
• Pacos Ferreira have only won 1 of their last 9 matches in league and cup.
• Pacos Ferreira have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.

The hosts are in a dire run of form

Pacos Ferreira lost 3-0 away at Maritimo last time out and hover just a point above the relegation zone, while Famalicao drew 1-1 at home with Aves meaning the gap between themselves and Sunday’s hosts increased to 17pts. Famalicao head into this clash as the form favourites despite only drawing and losing three of their last six matches in all competitions.

The visitors have won four of their six matches against Pacos Ferreira which includes a 1-0 win in the Taca de Portugal and a 4-2 win in the pairs’ reverse league fixture back in September. The hosts have failed to score in five of their last six matches and have only managed to keep one clean sheet during that period, while Famalicao have scored in all but two of their last six outings.

Pacos Ferreira have already dropped points in eight of their eleven home games in the Primeira Liga while Famalicao have picked up points in six of their ten away games, so you can see why we have backed the visitors with a double chance bet this weekend. The hosts average 1.00 points per home game and the visitors average 1.50 points per away game, which suggests that Famalicao should take home at least a point from Sunday’s trip to Pacos Ferreira.

Famalicao have already beaten Pacos Ferreira twice this season

The hosts score an average of 0.64 goals per home game and concede 1.00 goals while Famalicao score an average of 1.40 goals per away game, which is why we have decided to back a finals scoreline of 1-0 in the visitors’ favour. Only 27% of Pacos Ferreira’s home games have produced over 2.5 goals, so the hosts are used to low-scoring matches in their own backyard, and only 27% have seen both teams score, which suggests that we will only see one team, st most, score on Sunday.

Pacos Ferreira have failed to score in 55% of their home matches this season and the visitors have kept clean sheets in 20% of their away games and have only failed to score in 20% as well. Exactly 1-goal has been scored in 45% of Pacos Ferreira’s home games and a majority of the hosts’ defeats this season (8) have been via a 1-goal margin, while five of Famalicao’s wins this campaign have been by a margin of just 1-goal.

We’re confident that a double chance bet on Famalicao is the best way to go this weekend and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0. The hosts are out of form and haven’t performed as well as they should at home, but the visitors are in the midst of a poor run of form after an excellent first half to the season which is why we have backed them with a double chance bet rather than an outright victory.