Slovakia vs Luxembourg Predictions

• Slovakia have scored twice across three meetings with Luxembourg in the last two qualifying campaigns
• The visitors have scored only four goals from seven matches in 2025
• Under 2.5 goals has landed in seven of Slovakia’s last eight matches

Slovakia could struggle again

Slovakia had a tough time in Friday’s 2-0 loss to Northern Ireland, ending their perfect start to World Cup qualifying. Their win over Germany in the opening game blew Group A wide open, but now the top three sides are locked together on six points apiece.

After an impressive 2-0 win over Germany, Slovakia’s victory in Luxembourg was a little overshadowed. However, that game was a real grind, with a goal in added time giving Slovakia a narrow 1-0 win.

That continued a trend of close games between these two sides, as there was only one goal scored across two meetings in Euro 2024 qualifying. Luxembourg were able to grind out a 0-0 draw in the away game, so they’ll aim to frustrate the hosts once more.

Slovakia offered very little going forward in Belfast, while they’ve recorded 2.78 Expected Goals across their last three clashes with Luxembourg, scoring only twice.

The hosts have now scored only four times across seven matches in 2025, while they’re on par with their xG in this group, scoring three times from an xG of 3.1. On the back of a blunt performance, it’s hard to see them running away with this game. Back the visitors to keep the score down, with under 2.5 goals the standout selection, alongside another 1-0 win for Slovakia.