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Sporting Lisbon vs Braga Predictions

  • 20:30
  • Expired
  • Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon to Win

11/20odds when tipped
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Sporting Lisbon 2-1

15/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Sporting have won each of the last five contests between the clubs, although never scoring more than twice.
  • Sporting have won eight of nine home league games this season, drawing the other against leaders Porto.
  • Braga have lost two of their last three away league games – to the other members of Portugal’s ‘big three’.

Champions back on track after hiccup

Sporting Lisbon rediscovered their defensive identity in last weekend’s 2-0 win at Vizela and the champions should be able to see off the challenge of Braga at the Alvalade on Saturday.

The two clubs have had five close battles in the last 12 months, but Os Leoes have always come out on top – including in both this season’s Super Cup and the league clash in Braga.

Both games finished 2-1 with Carlos Carvalhal’s men unable to create enough against Sporting’s superbly-organised defence. That defence suffered a slight hiccup when shipping five goals across league games against Portimonense and Santa Clara, but they got back on track with a clean sheet last time out.

Home win odds good enough without risking much on a Braga goal 

Whether they get another here is a tough one to answer because Braga have scored in five of their seven league road trips this term and in both prior battles with Ruben Amorim’s men. The odds on a home win look good enough to accept without trying to include goals in as well as the hosts’ almost unblemished home record should continue.

Braga put up xG numbers of 0.68 at Porto and 0.57 away to Benfica in matches they lost 1-0 and 6-1 respectively, so it may be the case that they can grab a goal at the Alvalade here. It wouldn’t be a risk we would take with our main selection, but there could be some value in backing another 2-1 home win in correct score betting.

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