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Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Predictions

  • 19:30
  • Expired
  • Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon to Win and Under 3.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Sporting have won 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga home games, nine of which featured fewer than four goals. The Lions were caught out by Braga’s approach last weekend, but won’t face anything like that from the visitors, who were beaten without scoring on their return to the Primeira Liga last weekend.

8/11odds when tipped

Sporting Lisbon 3-0

Reason for tip

History suggests Sporting will prioritise a clean sheet over getting more goals and could decide to ease off the gas once they go 3-0 up as they face champions Porto in their next game. Rio Ave were lucky to get away with only a 1-0 loss against lowly Vizela last weekend. Their overall xG figure of 0.22 was the joint-worst of any Primeira Liga team last week.

 

6/1odds when tipped
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Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave Predictions

  • Sporting have won 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga home games, nine of which featured fewer than four goals.
  • Rio Ave were beaten without scoring on their return to the Primeira Liga last weekend.
  • Fewer than four goals have been scored in five of the past six head-to-head meetings of the clubs.

Rio Ave could be up the creek without a paddle

Rio Ave’s Primeira Liga return didn’t go as planned last weekend and it’s hard to see how they can escape from Lisbon with anything but a defeat when they face Sporting on Saturday.

Vilacondenses won promotion as second-tier champions last term, but still managed to concede goals at a rate of one per game. That will doubtless increase against far superior opposition in the top flight and a trip to the Joao Alvalade this weekend is as tough as it gets.

They looked nervous in the 1-0 home loss to Vizela last weekend and their overall xG figure of 0.22 was the joint-worst of any Primeira Liga team last week. They haven’t been able to strengthen as much as they would wish as some transfer targets have moved elsewhere instead and it looks like they could be in for a season of struggle.

Sporting should cruise to victory

Sporting should cruise to a comfortable home victory and they will want to get some confidence back after dropping points at Braga last Sunday. Ruben Amorim’s side gave possession away in their own half far too many times and were caught out by the hosts’ aggressive press and willingness to take risks.

This will be a much simpler affair for the Lions and one which they could put to bed pretty quickly in order to reserve something for next week’s trip to champions Porto. If the hosts go 3-0 up they might just call it a day – and history suggests Sporting will prioritise a clean sheet over getting more goals.

Sporting have won 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga home games, nine of which featured fewer than four goals, and that points us to a good way into this lopsided contest. Despite 1-0 and 2-0 being more frequent home scorelines for Amorim’s men, a 3-0 victory is taken in correct score betting because Rio Ave were lucky to get away with only a 1-0 loss against lowly Vizela last weekend.


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