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Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Published on 3:32pm GMT 14 April 2026

  • 19:00
  • 16
  • Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg
    FSV Mainz 05
      • Discovery+

      Strasbourg to Win

      Reason for tip

      Strasbourg need to overcome two goal deficit if they are to have any chance of progressing. They played well in defeat during the first leg, having 66% possession and generating an xg of over one. With home advantage they are very likely to win this match, even if they do not qualify for the semi final

      19/20odds when tipped
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      Strasbourg 2-1

      Reason for tip

      Strasbourg have conceded in four of their last five home matches, and red hot Mainz are bound to find a goal here. a 2-1 win won’t be enough to see Strasbourg make it to the semis, but it’s likely how the game will end up

      8/1odds when tipped
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      Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

      • Strasbourg had 66% possession and generated xg of over one in first leg
      • Strasbourg arrive fresh having not played over weekend
      • Strasbourg unbeaten in last seven home matches

      Strasbourg look to chase down Mainz lead

      Strasbourg face an uphill battle against Mainz 05 after a 2-0 defeat in the first leg, but there are reasons to believe they can at least respond with a win on home soil. Despite losing that opening encounter, Strasbourg were far from outplayed, generating an xG of over 1 and dominating possession with 66%, suggesting they created enough to get something from the game. They also come into this clash fresher, having not played over the weekend, while Mainz were beaten by Freiburg, .

      The task remains difficult, as they need to win by at least two goals to stand any chance of progressing, meaning they will have to take risks and push forward. That approach could leave them exposed at the back, but it should also lead to more attacking opportunities.

      Mainz still hold a strong advantage, but Strasbourg’s underlying numbers from the first leg and the added freshness give them a solid platform to at least win on the night. It may not be enough to turn the tie around, but a narrow home victory, such as 2-1, looks a reasonable expectation.

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