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Verona vs AC Milan predictions ahead of this clash in Serie A on Sunday. Can the Rossoneri pick up after a mixed start? Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 8/11

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
AC Milan 1-0 @ 11/2

Reason For Verona vs AC Milan Predictions

Marco Giampaolo seems to be finding the same limitations at Milan that his predecessors struggled with. He just can’t get them up and moving, with the club seemingly languishing outside of Italy’s elite for too long. He has returned a win and a defeat so far, but can the new boss improve their fortunes in this visit to Verona?

The hosts have kicked off with stronger results than Milan, as they’ve taken four points from their opening two. Verona were handed a straightforward opening, hosting Bologna before taking on newly-promoted rivals Lecce. That has worked out well for the hosts, but can they use the momentum from their opening two games to produce a major shock in this clash?

AC Milan haven’t impressed in either of their games, despite claiming three points last time out. They have seen a 1-0 win and defeat so far from their first two. Their finishing has been poor, they aren’t looking all that creative and they have underwhelmed in recent seasons. While they head here as the favourites, this is far from an easy game for the visitors.

Milan’s ambitions are undone by their lack of cutting edge in attack. Excluding Lecce (0 goals), no other team have a lower shot conversion rate than AC Milan so far this season in Serie A (3.3%). On a brighter note, they are at least one o the most impressive defences in the league. Excluding newly promoted teams, AC Milan have conceded the fewest goals (17) in 2019 in Serie A.

Milan have a track record of low scoring clashes, with 68% of their away trips last season seeing under 2.5 goals. It was even more common in their visits to teams in the bottom half, occurring in 70% of their matches. Judging by their start so far, that is going to continue. We are backing Milan’s defence to hold out here, but they should disappoint going forward once again. With the visitors seeing under 2.5 goals in four of their last five Serie A games, we think there’s value to be found on a repeat.

AC Milan have won three of their last four away matches in Serie A in Veneto (L1), as many wins as in their previous eight such games. With a strong recent record against Verona, they should see off a side who lost all 10 meetings with the top five in their last top flight stint. We’re backing Milan to edge a tight game 1-0 this weekend.

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Article by: Aaron R
Twitter: @aaron_rogan
Published: September 13, 2019

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+

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