Vitoria Setubal vs Benfica Predictions

• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two clubs.
• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 4 of Benfica’s last 6 matches.
• Vitoria Setubal have dropped points in 8 of their 11 home games this season.
• Benfica have won 10 of their 11 away games in the Primeira Liga.

Neither of these sides have been playing to their best in recent weeks

Setubal played out a goalless draw away at struggling Portimonense last time out while Benfica were held to a 1-1 draw at home by Moreirense on Monday night, meaning the gap between the two teams remains at 31pts heading into this weekends’ clash. Benfica edge the form guide, but only just, with one win, three draws, and two defeats from their last six matches in all competitions, as Setubal have picked up one win, two draws, and three defeats during that same period of games.

Benfica haven’t lost against Setubal since 2017 and have won six of the duos’ last nine encounters, with three of the pairs’ last five meetings producing under 2.5 goals. The visitors might not be at their best right now but they have outperformed Setubal in all departments so far this season and with the all of the above in mind, we have predicted that under 2.5 goals will be scored this weekend and that Benfica will claim a narrow 1-0 win.

Setubal have only won three games at home this season, dropping points in eight of their eleven matches played in front of their own fans, while Benfica have a fantastic away record that consists of ten wins and one defeat. The hosts average 1.27 points per home game while the visitors average 2.73 points per away game, which suggests that the most likely result this weekend is an away win.

The visitors have scored in all of their away games this season

The hosts only score an average of 0.55 goals per home game and concede 0.91 goals while the visitors score an average of 2.09 goals per away game and only concede 0.55 goals, and that is why we have backed a narrow 1-0 final scoreline in favour of Benfica this weekend. Under 2.5 goals have been produced in a whopping 73% of Setubal’s home games this season, as well as in 55% of Benfica’s away games, so you can see why we are expecting another low-scoring affair on Saturday.

Both teams have scored in just 27% of Setubal’s home games and 36% of Benfica’s away trips, adding further weight to our prediction for a 1-0 final scoreline this weekend. Setubal have proven a tough nut to crack in their own backyard, keeping clean sheets in 64% of their home games, but they have also failed to score in almost half of their home matches which is something to consider heading into Saturday’s clash. Benfica have kept clean sheets in 64% of their away games, more than they have at home, and the visitors haven’t failed to score on the road so far this season.

We’re confident that under 2.5 goals will be produced in Saturday’s match and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of Benfica. The visitors aren’t playing to the best of their abilities right now, but neither are the hosts, and with their excellent record of scoring goals and keeping clean sheets on the road, we have backed Benfica to come good this weekend with a 1-0 win.