Watford vs Wrexham Predictions

• Watford have generated close to 6.0 xG in the last three games in which they dropped points
• The Hornets have scored twice in five of their seven home meetings with sides above them, winning four
• Wrexham have scored in all but one of their last 20 matches

Shot in the arm for the Hornets?

Watford lost ground in the top-six chase at the weekend with a 3-1 defeat at Stoke. That, paired with Wrexham’s 2-0 win over Swansea on Friday night, has opened up an eight-point gap between the Hornets at the final playoff spot.

However, Watford do have a solid record against the sides above them, winning four of their seven meetings at Vicarage Road. They were minutes away from a 2-1 win at Wrexham in the reverse fixture, and they can trouble the Welsh outfit.

Wrexham head into this game in form after winning four of their last five, but their recent successes on the road have come against bottom-half strugglers, beating QPR, Charlton, and Sheffield Wednesday.

Hosts Watford haven’t picked up the results they’ve deserved of late. Their one win across their last four games, a 2-1 victory at Bristol City, came with their lowest xG total in that stretch. They’ve taken a point from clashes with Stoke, Wednesday, and Ipswich, despite putting up close to 6.0 xG across those games.

Wrexham have conceded in six of their eight visits to teams in the top-half, and Watford have averaged 1.44 goals per game at Vicarage Road this term. However, the hosts have kept one clean sheet in seven games, while Wrexham have failed to score only once in their last 20 matches across all competitions.