Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

• Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in 16 knockout stage games at home under Diego Simeone
• Atleti have only conceded four times in 16 Champions League stage games at home under Diego Simeone
• Only one of Dortmund’s eight Champions League games this term have gone over 2.5 goals

Home comforts key

Atletico Madrid scraped through against Inter in the last round but they are an incredibly tough nut to crack at home in the Champions League, they are unbeaten in 16 home knockout ties in the competition under Diego Simeone, keeping a clean sheet in 12 of those.

In fact they have conceded just four times at home in the knockout stages of the Champions League under this manager and they are fancied to get the better of Dortmund here.

The visitors have been a difficult team to predict this term and they were a touch fortunate to get the better of PSV Eindhoven in the last round. The away side have also lost eight of their last ten away games in the knockout stages of this competition so it’s worth backing the home team to get the victory.

Cagey affair likely

Atletico’s ability to keep things tight at home in this competition should serve them well and a low-scoring affair may follow, particularly as only one of Dortmund’s eight games in this competition this season have gone over 2.5 goals.

Correct score backers should side with the home team for a 1-0 win.

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