Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.
It’s just a week until the long-awaited Euro 2020 kicks off at the Stadio Olimpico and here at FST we’re kicking off our Euro 2020 outright tips with our two main winner predictions.
World champions France are the market leaders at 9/2 but England and Belgium aren’t far off the pace and, according to the bookies at least, Germany, Spain, Portugal, Italy and the Netherlands are also in the running.
We’ll be covering all the major markets in the run up to the tournament as well as having in-depth team guides for every nation, so remember to keep checking out Euro 2020 news section for more great analysis and betting tips.
Euro 2020 winners prediction: France at 9/2
The World Cup 2018 winners head into Euro 2020 as favourites and it’s not hard to see why. They have a squad filled to the brim with genuine world class quality with experience winning the World Cup, incredible strength in depth and an experienced manager to boot.
Honestly, it’s very difficult to find any holes in this France squad and the only reason their price is so generous is because of their difficult group, but they shouldn’t have any problem navigating their way through the first three matches and after that you’d be hard pressed to find anyone who could stop them.
In many ways their squad is actually better than the one that lifted the trophy in Russia three years ago. Kylian Mbappe has a few more seasons under his belt and the likes of Presnel Kimpembe, Raphael Varane, Paul Pogba and N’Golo Kante are in their prime. The shock recall of Karim Benzema gives a new dimension to their attack as well after his excellent season for Real Madrid.
Les Bleus head into the tournament having lost just three games since their World Cup triumph and with five wins from their last six games. Griezmann has scored in three of his last four for France and their strength in depth is bordering on criminal. That option to field two genuinely top-class lineups could be key in a tournament likely to be dominated by heavy legs after a gruelling domestic campaign.
Dider Deschamps was a player the last time France did the World Cup and European Championship double in 1998 and 2000, and we’re backing him to do it as a manager this summer.
Euro 2020 outsider prediction: Italy at 11/1
Italy are overlooked in almost every major tournament but you simply can’t ignore their pedigree at this level. They failed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup for the first time since 1958 but their record when they get there is excellent, making it to the final in three of their nine major tournaments since the turn of the millennium.
One factor that often causes pundits and fans to undervalue Italy’s chances is their lack of a big star. The same can be said of Roberto Mancini’s latest squad but you can’t argue with their form.
Gli Azzurri qualified with a perfect record of ten wins from ten and followed that by finishing top of their Nations League group and winning all three of their World Cup qualifiers. All being told, they haven’t lost in almost three years of football, winning 21 of their 26 games since that defeat to Portugal.
And, while they don’t have any standout stars, their squad is filled with a mixture of exciting talent and level-headed experience. Veterans Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci are there at the back and in Marco Verratti, Jorginho and Nicolo Barella they have three gifted passers of the ball. Federico Chiesa is an exciting talent on the wing and Ciro Immobile, Lorenzo Insigne and Domenico Berardi have all been banging in the goals in Serie A this season.
Add the winning experience of Roberto Mancini and three group-stage matches at home to the mix and you have a promising prognosis for the Italians.
Euro 2020 outright odds: Assessing the favourites
A world-class squad with the strength in depth to field two top tier lineups, a World Cup win already in the bag and an experienced manager in Dider Deschamps.
We’ve been through it all already. Go on, find a weakness for me.
England’s squad is undeniably one of the most talented at the tournament but as usual they look more than a little short considering they haven’t won a major tournament for over half a century.
They are well-stocked in the attacking department but the central midfield and centre-back areas look shallow and there are major doubts over whether Jordan Pickford has the temperament to be a top goalkeeper.
More importantly, however, is their potentially difficult run to the final. Winning Group D would likely pit them against Portugal, Germany or France in the first knockout round, and that could spell the end of England’s time in the tournament.
Read more in our England team guide & best bet article.
Belgium’s golden generation is slowly winding down and this could be their last chance to make good on their incredible potential, but it might not be a smooth ride for Roberto Martinez and his men.
Talisman Eden Hazard has endured a torrid time at Real Madrid since the last World Cup and Kevin De Bruyne picked up a facial injury in the Champions League Final, two factors that could spell disaster for the upcoming tournament.
They have plenty of quality but with key figures at the back getting a bit long in the tooth and Hazard and De Bruyne not being at full fitness they look far too short. I’m expecting a quarter-final exit.
Read more in our Belgium team guide & best bet article.
It’s always difficult to back against a team with the European Championship pedigree of Germany but it’s been a long time since we’ve seen a Germany side look so shambolic.
Make no mistake, there are some true superstars in the squad – Toni Kroos, Joshua Kimmich, Kai Havertz to name but a few – and the resurrection of Thomas Muller and Mats Hummels brings more World Cup-winning experience to the team, but recent performances have ranged from acceptable to abysmal.
They were demolished 6-0 by Spain in the Nations League in November and opened their World Cup qualifying campaign with a defeat to North Macedonia. Combine that with their draw in the Group of Death and another group stage exit isn’t out of the question.
After dominating the international stage between 2008 and 2012, the last of Spain’s old guard are finally starting to wind down. For the first time in history Real Madrid have no representatives in the squad and only Sergio Busquets and Jordi Alba have over 50 caps to their name.
The presence of Ferran Torres, Pedri, Mikel Oyarzabal and others, ensures there is plenty of raw talent in the squad but their lack of a proven goalscorer and absence of a commanding figure at the back could be their downfall.
Expect a strong showing in the groups but some poor results in the past year and a squad in transition makes them a hard team to back for the trophy.
Surprise winners in 2016, Portugal are back to defend their crown and once again are led by the living legend that is Cristiano Ronaldo.
Ronaldo will become the first player to feature at five European Championships this summer and Fernando Santos will need him at his best to make it out of a group containing Germany and France, although four third-place qualifiers getting through to the knockouts does ease the pressure slightly.
The Portugal manager’s conservative brand of football landed them their first ever trophy five years ago and they actually look a generous price considering the talent and experience available. Three of their squad have over 100 caps to their name and the likes of Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, Diogo Jota and Joao Felix bring the much-needed energy. Don’t rule them out.
A well-balanced squad led by an experienced winning manager in Roberto Mancini, Italy may very well be the outside choice in this group of favourites.
They have the home advantage in their group games and carry arguably the best form of the lot into the tournament having not lost a game since 2018. They look value in the eachway market at the very least.
Back in the big time after failing to qualify for Euro 2016 and World Cup 2018, the Netherlands are far too short to consider backing in the outright market.
They have some good players – notably there selection of central midfielders – but the absence of Virgil van Dijk will be felt and Frank de Boer doesn’t exactly have a stellar record over his last few managerial appointments.
Add a deceptively tough group and just four wins from their last 11 games – including a 4-2 thrashing against Turkey and a draw with Scotland this week – and the Dutch should be avoided at all costs.
Read more in our Netherlands team guide & best bet article.
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