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European relegation predictions with massive 58/1 relegation 4-fold!
Alex Wrigley
Alex Wrigley
April 18, 2023
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Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.

The title race is all but over in most of Europe’s top leagues, with Manchester City (1.44) the biggest-priced favourite for the league title in any of Europe’s top seven divisions.

However, the battle at the other end of the tables is still raging as teams fight to remain in the top flight.

Let’s take a look at how things stand at the bottom of the table in Europe and pick out the best relegation tip in each league.

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European relegation accumulator

Premier League

2022/23 is shaping up to be one of the closest Premier League relegation battles in memory. Heading into gameweek 32, just 16 points separate the entire bottom-half of the table and there are only 12 points between 11th-placed Chelsea and 18th-placed Nottingham Forest.

Premier League relegation odds

  • Southampton – 1/14
  • Nottingham Forest – 2/7
  • Leicester – 5/6
  • Everton – 1/1
  • Leeds – 9/4

With Southampton looking dreadful and Nottingham Forest facing arguably the most difficult run-in of any Premier League side, it’s easy to see why that duo are so heavily favoured for the drop.

However, the last drop spot is likely to come down to the wire. Everton’s loss to Fulham at the weekend was a massive missed opportunity but the Toffees have looked vastly improved under Sean Dyche, losing just two of their last six, and don’t have a particularly difficult run-in. Leicester are on a torrid run but also don’t have a tough run-in.

Instead, the value could lie in outsiders Leeds, who have lost their last two games by an aggregate scoreline of 11-2. That will be a huge blow to morale ahead of an absolutely crucial trio of matches against Fulham, Leicester and Bournemouth, while they end the season by facing three of the Premier League top five in the final four games.

Best bet – Leeds to be relegated at 9/4

La Liga

It’s not just the Premier League that things are tight, either. While Elche are out for the count at the bottom of the table with a miserly 13 points, there are only ten points between 11th-placed Mallorca and second-bottom Espanyol and that section of the Spanish top flight contains a couple of huge names. Valencia are currently in the relegation zone, three points from safety, while Sevilla are 13th  and only eight points above the drop spots.

La Liga relegation odds

  • Espanyol – 8/13
  • Almeria – 5/4
  • Valencia – 7/4
  • Cadiz – 2/1
  • Valladolid – 10/3

Valencia haven’t plied their trade in the second tier since 1987 but there is a genuine chance they could be relegated this season, although they may be helped by a relatively easy run-in. Los Che face six bottom-half sides in their last nine games and only one top-four outfit in Real Madrid.

16th-place Cadiz also have a palatable final couple of months, but Almeria and Espanyol are slightly worse off. Both face four top-half sides in their last nine games, with two apiece against teams in the top four.

Almeria have enjoyed something of a resurgence lately, though, so I’m backing odds-on favourites Espanyol for the drop after losing six successive games.

Best bet – Espanyol to be relegated at 8/13

Serie A

Competition is a little less fierce in Italy, where Napoli are running away at the top of the table and Sampdoria are ten points adrift of safety at the bottom. Sampdoria and Cremonese, who are seven points from safety, look doomed, but Verona may still have a chance. The 18th-placed club are three points from safety and as many as five teams could be considered as relegation battlers.

Possibly due to the potential for points deductions, many major bookmakers are not offering markets on Serie A relegation, but if I did have to choose one I’d opt for Lecce provided they were odds-against.

They may have a five-point cushion on the drop zone but they have taken just one point from their last seven Serie A games, scoring only two goals, and face AC Milan and Juventus in the next few weeks.


The Bundesliga is playing host to a fiercely-contested relegation battle, too, with rock-bottom Hertha Berlin only five points shy of safety and only ten points off 11th-placed Cologne. As many as eight sides are in with a realistic chance of being relegated, including the likes of Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim.

Bundesliga relegation odds

  • Schalke – 1/7
  • Hertha Berlin – 1/4
  • Bochum – 2/1
  • Stuttgart – 2/1
  • Augsburg – 5/1

Schalke look short considering they are just three points from safety but they do have to play five top-half sides in their final six games. Along with bottom-placed Hertha Berlin, who are five points inside the drop zone and just lost 5-2 to Schalke, the bottom two are likely to remain how they are.

That only leaves the relegation play-off position of 16th, which has been won by the current Bundesliga club in nine of the last ten seasons.

If I had to pick any, it would be Bochum. They have the league’s worst defensive record and have to face Wolfsburg, Dortmund, Leverkusen and Monchengladbach in their final six games.

However, I fancy all but Schalke and Hertha to stay up, and Hertha Berlin at 1/4 look the best value of the bunch.

Best bet – Hertha Berlin to be relegated at 1/4

Ligue 1

With Ligue 1 set to be reduced to 18 clubs next season, there are four relegation spots to try and avoid in France this term. The bottom three all look doomed, with bottom-placed Angers 16 points adrift of safety and Troyes and Ajaccio ten points off. Strasbourg are only two points inside the bottom four, though, while 12th-placed Toulouse are only nine points above them, leaving as many as six teams vying to avoid that extra drop spot.

Ligue 1 relegation odds

  • Angers – 1/1000
  • Ajaccio – 1/1000
  • Troyes – 1/500
  • Strasbourg – 5/6
  • Auxerre – 7/4

The bottom three in Ligue 1 look beyond help but the final relegation spot is wide open, with current occupiers Strasbourg unsurprising favourites.

However, more value could be found in Auxerre, who are three positions and three points above Strasbourg. They are on a decent run of form right now but have a terrible run-in, facing four of the current top five in their final seven games.

Strasbourg also face four top-half sides but only one in the top five, while the teams in between them – Brest and Nantes – have relatively easy runs until the end of the season.

Auxerre look decent value, but I am tempted by Nantes, who have lost five and drawn three of their last eight, at a massive 8/1.

They might have an easy run-in but they are in atrocious form right now and could give up valuable points to their relegation rivals, who are all in better form than they are, in the coming weeks.

Best bet – Nantes to be relegated at 8/1

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