Before becoming a Sports Journalist for Free Super Tips, Aaron spent three years studying Sports Journalism at the University of Sunderland while taking in the Black Cats' 'glory years' under Martin O'Neill. Now back in Northern Ireland he turns niche stats into predictions for FST, while he's one of the few people on this island who is equally comfortable at Windsor Park and the Aviva.
We’re once again teaming up with the Racing Post to pick out the best value bets this weekend. A trio of experts from both Racing Post and FST have picked out six tips, from five matches which can be backed at 28/1.
Sunday sees FST’s regular trio team up with Aaron Ashley, Steve Davies and Liam Flin of Racing Post, plus a brand new Celebrity Corner section featuring a Premier League double from former players Scott Minto and Kevin Phillips.
Read on for all eight selections, while you can see more tips over on our football predictions page.
Sunday’s Experts Acca
Football journalist and Serie A and Championship expert at Free Super Tips
Roma to beat Benevento and both teams to score at 7/4
Roma have a 100% record against bottom half sides this season, while they meet a Benevento side who lost 5-2 in the reverse fixture. That defeat was one of four losses in four meetings with the top three for Benevento, so we hold little hope for them going into this one.
However, Roma have conceded in 90% of their away games and they visit a Benevento side who have scored in nine of their last 11 despite recent struggles. Roma’s games this season have tended to be high scoring, so Roma to win and both teams to score offers value.
Sports Editor at Free Super Tips.
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5 goals at 8/11
Bayer Leverkusen had their hearts broken in midweek as they came back from 3-0 down against Young Boys only to concede a fourth in the dying embers of the game, but that seven goal thriller highlighted how Bayer are playing right now. There have been 18 goals in their last three competitive games and the overs has landed in 12 of their last 17 in all competitions.
Augsburg are similarly weak at the back, conceding eight goals in their last four Bundesliga games and seeing three or more goals in three of these. 55 goals have been scored in their 21 Bundesliga outings this season, and both teams’ attackers could find more joy in front of goal on Sunday.
Premier League expert and journalist at Free Super Tips.
Atalanta vs Napoli Over 2.5 goals @4/6
Atalanta and Napoli went toe-to-toe in a thrilling Coppa Italia encounter earlier this month that La Dea eventually won 3-1, and that was the fifth time in seven meetings between the clubs where over 2.5 goals were produced.
Gian Piero Gasperini’s free-wheeling team rarely fail to entertain at home, and their Serie A assignments at the Gewiss Stadium have delivered a whopping 3.8 goals per 90 minutes this term. Expect that net-shredding pattern to continue on Sunday.
Football journalist at Racing Post.
Rangers to win to nil vs Dundee United
Runaway Scottish Premiership leaders Rangers have an unblemished record at Ibrox this season and should make that 15 wins from as many home games at the expense of Dundee United. Remarkably, Rangers have kept 14 clean sheets during their home dominance and another win to nil should follow here.
Football journalist at Racing Post
Leicester to beat Aston Villa
Leicester go from strength to strength and they can extend their excellent form by winning at Aston Villa.
Brendan Rodgers’ Foxes have lost just one of their last 15, kept three straight away clean sheets and haven’t lost away at a Premier League rival since a 3-0 loss at Liverpool three months ago.
They avenged that last week and can now pay Villa back for a 1-0 defeat against them at the King Power in October.
Football journalist and La Liga and Bundesliga expert at Racing Post.
Atalanta to beat Napoli
Atalanta and Napoli have already met twice this month in the Coppa Italia with the first leg in Naples finishing 0-0 before Atalanta prevailed 3-1 in the second in Bergamo. La Dea have also beaten Lazio and Milan since the turn of the year and, at a shade of odds-on, they look a great bet to beat Napoli again.
Gennaro Gattuso’s men have struggled with injuries recently and have not been helped by the absence of Dries Mertens. Their loss to Granada in the Europa League on Thursday was their third loss in their last four matches and they are worth opposing.
Celebrity Corner Double
Former Premier League footballer and host of the Different League podcast.
West Ham to beat Tottenham and both teams to score
I was in the West Ham team that finished fifth and we only qualified for the Intertoto Cup but the current Hammers crop have got their eyes on a European spot.
It won’t be easy and the Champions League could be a step too far but even to finish sixth or seventh would be some achievement and this is a good opportunity to keep the run going which stands at one defeat since Christmas. That was against Liverpool too.
The players will be bang up for this Spurs game. Everyone at the club knows how important this game is to the fans against Tottenham and, while Heung-Min Son and Harry Kane always give a threat of goals for Spurs, West Ham are playing with greater confidence.
Jesse Lingard has been superb and my old club are also a major threat from set-pieces.
Former Premier League footballer.
Man City to win v Arsenal
I can’t see anything bar an away win at the Emirates.
Manchester City are playing with so much confidence after winning their last 17 matches in all competitions and I don’t see how you stop them at the moment.
Kevin De Bruyne and Sergio Aguero will soon be back to full fitness to boost Pep Guardiola’s side from an attacking point of view but I also look at them defensively and they are so strong too.
Arsenal are unlikely to be good enough at the back to keep them out for the full 90 minutes and I see them conceding at least a couple of goals. I support Arsenal and maybe my team can nick one through Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang but the difference is defensively.
Even against Leeds they conceded twice and it could have been more.
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