Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.
The international break has finally ended and we can get back to a weekend of Premier League action, and as always we have all the best predictions in the corners and cards market for the coming weekend. You wanted more tips and predictions in these markets, and we’re happy to oblige!
We went into the international break on a bit of a downer after a poor weekend, but the results from the first three gameweeks were more than enough of a cushion to leave us in profit heading into gameweek five. You can see all of our gameweek 4 predictions here.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool
Saturday’s early kickoff sees two of the Premier League heavyweights go head to head as Spurs host Liverpool, hoping to halt their perfect start to the new campaign. The first bet of the weekend focuses on the corners market, with Over 10.5 Corners at 1/1 looking a solid backing. 60% of both Tottenham and Liverpool’s respective home and away games against their fellow top six sides last season saw at least 11 corners, with Spurs’ seeing an average of 11.6 corners per game in these matches. Jurgen Klopp’s side are continuing this trend this season too, with their four games this season racking up a huge 43 corners and 21 coming in their two away matches.
Matches of such a large magnitude often turn into heated affairs, and Mauricio Pocchettino’s high pressure brand of tactics can sometimes tow the line when up against highly skilled opposition. Tottenham picked up more than one card in four of their five home games against the top six last season, averaging 2.2 cards per game. Their only match against top six opposition this season saw them rack up three bookings against Manchester United, and they’re facing a Liverpool side adept at drawing fouls. The visitors have seen their opposition pick up eight cards in their four games this season, and their trips away to the top six last season saw the opposition carded more than once in three out of five games. Backing Tottenham Over 1.5 Team Cards at 4/5 looks a great option.
Bournemouth vs Leicester
The 3pm clashes in the Premier League offer us a host of value, and first up is Leicester’s trip to the in form Bournemouth. First, we enter the corners market for a couple of solid offerings. The Cherries averaged an impressive 2.62 more corners than their opposition last season when hosting fellow bottom 14 sides, and in their two home games against the bottom 14 this season they have won 13 corners and conceded just six. Leicester have played against bottom 14 sides twice so far this season, winning a measly four corners and conceding a huge 19. Both games saw them concede at least seven corners more than their opposition, so Bournemouth -1.5 Asian Corners at 1.900 looks excellent value.
Following on from that, Bournemouth conceded an average of 4.31 corners per game at home against the bottom 14 last season, and so far this season Leicester have won just 13 corners. The Foxes have hit five or more corners just once this season, and they’re facing a Bournemouth side who have conceded just six corner kicks in their two games at the Vitality Stadium this season. For this reason, a bet of Leicester Under 4.5 Team Corners at 5/6 looks attractive.
Corners aren’t the only area where Claude Puel’s side are lagging. They picked up a relatively middle-ground 1.89 cards per game when away from home last season, but they’re facing a Bournemouth side who know how to get their opponents in trouble. Eddie Howe’s side have seen their opposition pick up 13 cards so far this season, including 11 in their three matches against bottom 14 sides. Last season The Cherries saw their visitors’ average 1.95 cards per game at the Vitality Stadium, so odds of 5/6 for Leicester Over 1.5 Team Cards looks a good choice.
Huddersfield vs Crystal Palace
The John Smiths Stadium might not be everybody’s first choice when it comes to the potential for entertainment this weekend, but there is still value to be found in the corners market. Huddersfield averaged 6.31 corners per game at home against the bottom 14 last season, and Crystal Palace conceded 5.23 per game when away against their fellow bottom 14 sides. The Terriers’ only hosting of a bottom 14 side this season saw them win seven corners, and Palace have conceded 11 corners in their two trips away to the bottom 14 this season. This makes odds of 6/5 for Huddersfield Over 5.5 Team Corners look fantastic value for money.
Manchester City vs Fulham
Manchester City’s incredible level of possession at The Etihad makes it very difficult for their visitors to mount any sort of attacking threat, and that often translates into a very low corner count. Pep Guardiola’s team have conceded just ten corners so far this season, and a microscopic three of those have come in their two games at home against the bottom 14 sides. Fulham aren’t likely to raise that tally much either, because The Cottagers have won just three corners themselves in their two away games this season. Last season, The Citizens conceded an average of 2.29 corners per game when at home against the bottom 14, which is unsurprisingly the lowest in the league. All this adds up to make 10/11 for Fulham Under 2.5 Team Corners look very tasty indeed.
Fortunately, there is one area that Manchester City don’t excel in. They don’t tend to draw much ill discipline from their opponents, despite the doubtless frustration that their possession majority causes. The hosts have only seen their opposition booked twice in their two home games this season, and in all four of their league matches so far they have only seen five cards brandished at their opponents. Fulham have only picked up six cards in their four games this season too. Raheem Sterling’s potential absence could play a role too; The blisteringly quick attacker was Manchester City’s most fouled player last season, so the possibility of Fulham picking up bookings is definitely reduced if he is out injured. In any case, backing Fulham Under 1.5 Team Cards at 6/5 looks a great bet.
Newcastle vs Arsenal
Newcastle face yet another difficult encounter this weekend as they face Arsenal, and while we are expecting a few goals the corner situation doesn’t look as abundant in potential. Newcastle’s home games against the top six last season saw an average of just 8.67 corners, and Arsenal saw a modest 9.64 corners per game when away from home against the bottom 14 last season. The Gunners’, under Unai Emery this season, have seen an average of 9.5 corners per game this season, with Arsenal themselves only picking up 4.75 corners per game. Newcastle’s last outing at Manchester City is the clincher though – The Magpies failed to win a single corner at The Etihad, and there was an absurdly low tally of just four corners through the whole game. Backing Under 10 Corners at 5/6 looks an absolute must.
We’re not expecting the cards situation to be much more abundant either. Despite having some potential disciplinary issues this season, Rafa Benitez’ men do know how to keep their temper under wraps in the big games. Just one of their six home games against the top six last season saw them pick up more than a single card, with them averaging just 0.83 cards per game. Arsenal’s trips away last season saw the opposition handed 1.53 cards per game, a figure which is by far the lowest tally of all the top six. To further help us out, referee Lee Probert dished out just 1.43 yellow cards per game last season, so odds of 4/5 for Newcastle Under 1.5 Team Cards looks a great bet.
Watford vs Manchester United
Saturday’s evening kickoff sees Watford try to maintain their perfect start to the season against another Premier League giant, and there are a few options out there in the corners and cards markets to make the match even more exciting. Manchester United have been relatively deprived in the corners department so far this season, with their four games so far averaging just 7.25 corners per game. All four of them have seen fewer than ten corners, and two of Watford’s outings haven’t reached double figures. Last season, The Hornets saw an average of just nine corners per game at home to the top six, with only two of them ending with more than ten. This makes odds of 5/6 for Under 10 Corners look a great bet.
The corner tally might not look promising, but we could see a few cards being brandished by Mike Dean. The referee on Saturday dished out an average of 3.72 yellow cards per game last season, the highest tally of any official that oversaw more than a single game. He’ll have his critical eye trained on Watford’s Etienne Capoue as well. Capoue has already managed to pick up three bookings in just four games this season, already matching his tally for the entirety of last season. Both of his home games have seen him go into the referee’s notebook, and he’ll be facing off against Paul Pogba in the centre, who was on the receiving end of more fouls than any other Red Devils player last season. Backing Capoue to go into the book at 11/4 looks a very generous price.
Wolves vs Burnley
Heading into Sunday, and first off we’re focusing on Molineux as the newly promoted Wolves look to build on their win last time out. Their playing style under Nuno Santo doesn’t exactly focus on the corner flags though. Last season they averaged just 5.26 corners per game on home soil, and coincidentally their average of 5.25 corners per game so far this season is almost exactly the same. It doesn’t stop there – The opposing Clarets have conceded 5.25 corners per game on average this season, so it all adds up to make Wolves Under 6.5 Team Corners at 4/5 look a great offering.
Everton vs West Ham
Sunday’s later game sees the pointless and dreadful West Ham travel up north to Goodison Park, and once again we’re expecting a low corner count. Only one of West Ham’s four ill-fated games this season have seen more than nine corners, with neither of their away days being heavy on the corners. Everton have played all their league matches against bottom 14 opposition this season, and none of them have seen the corner count head into double figures. Last season, The Toffees home games against the bottom 14 averaged 9.54 corners per game, which is exactly the same tally as West Ham’s trips away to the bottom 14. For this reason, backing Under 10 Corners at 5/6 looks a solid bet.
While the corner count should be below average, we’re expecting a few more cards than we normally see on Sunday. This is particularly true for West Ham, who have picked up three or more cards in two of their four games this season. Everton don’t exactly have a pristine disciplinary record at the moment, but their oppositon have picked up at least three cards in both of their games at Goodison Park this term. The Hammers’ average of 2.21 cards per away game last season was the highest tally in the top flight, and with Martin Atkinson refereeing the game we could be in for a card fest here. Atkinson brandished the card 3.64 times per game last season, which is the third highest average of any referee with more than ten games under their belt. This makes West Ham Over 2.5 Team Cards at 6/5 an enticing option.
Southampton vs Brighton
Monday evening brings us perhaps the most value in the corners and cards markets as Southampton host Brighton. The Saints could be described as corner-winning specialists when facing the teams outside the top six. They averaged 7.92 corners per game at home against these teams last season, a tally that was second only to Chelsea and ahead of the likes of Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United, Spurs, and Arsenal. They have continued that trend this term, winning at least seven corners in both of their home games. Meanwhile, Brighton have conceded seven or more corners in both of their away games, so backing Southampton Over 6.5 Team Corners at 10/11 is a fantastic bet.
There’s plenty more value to be had here though. Mark Hughes’ men averaged four more corners per game than the opposition at home against the bottom 14 last season, which was the 4th best record in the league. So far this season they have won ten more corners than the opposition in their two home games, and they’re facing a Brighton side who averaged two fewer corners per game than their opponents when away to their fellow bottom 14 sides last season. The Seagulls have conceded 16 corners away from home this season and won just seven, so Southampton -2 Asian Corners at 1.800 looks great value.
Sticking with the corners market, we see that Southampton’s home matches against the bottom 14 averaged 11.85 corners per game last season, which once again was right up there in 2nd place behind Chelsea. Brighton saw 11.08 corners per game when away to the bottom 14 last term, and with both of The Saints home games this season racking up 13 corners in total we think odds of 13/10 for Over 11 Corners is very generous.
Finally, we end gameweek five of the Premier League with a look into the cards market. Brighton averaged just one card per game away from home last season, and they have only picked up three cards in their two trips away this term. Meanwhile, Southampton have seen their opponents pick up just three cards in their four matches this season, so odds of 5/4 for Brighton Under 1.5 Team Cards looks the perfect way to end the weekend.
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