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Spain La Liga 2023/24 outright predictions with 11/8, 4/1 & 4/7 tips
August 7, 2023

Barcelona ended a three-year dry spell in La Liga last season as they beat Real Madrid to the title by ten points and little in the way of shocks can be expected in a league dominated by the huge duo.

The La Liga title has gone to either Barcelona or Real Madrid in 17 of the last 19 years and bookmakers don’t expect that pattern to change for the 2023/24 season.

All our tips below are priced up with bet365, where new customers can get up to £30 in free bets to use on our season outright tips!

Spain La Liga 2023/24 outright winner odds

  • Real Madrid – 1/1
  • Barcelona – 11/8
  • Atletico Madrid – 9/1
  • Sevilla – 33/1
  • Real Sociedad 40/1
  • Villarreal – 50/1

Spain La Liga 2023/24 outright predictions

Barcelona to win La Liga at 11/8

Real Madrid look likely to kick-off the campaign as even-money favourites after a summer in which they’ve rekindled talk of a return to their Galactico days following the capture of England sensation Jude Bellingham and pursuit of Kylian Mbappe.

Mbappe doesn’t look like arriving at the Bernabeu anytime soon though, which is a problem for Los Blancos as they seek to fill the void left by Karim Benzema’s shock departure to Saudi Arabia.

Summer signing Joselu may be just a stop-gap Benzema replacement but is still a downgrade for a team that finished ten points behind champions Barcelona in the standings last season.

A watertight defence that kept 26 clean sheets in 38 league games, coupled with the Pichichi-winning goals of Robert Lewandowski were the bedrock of Xavi’s first title success as Barca boss.

They’ve lost some important pieces with veterans Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets moving on but have mitigated those departures with some nice additions, most notably Ilkay Gundogan and Inigo Martinez.

Barcelona are having to box clever in the transfer market due to their dire financial situation and may have to sell Ousmane Dembele to balance the books. But youngsters Fermin Lopez and Abde Ezzalzouli have caught the eye in pre-season and the Catalans look likely to get more help from their youngsters than Real.

Not playing at the Nou Camp, which is being redeveloped, and temporarily moving into Barcelona’s less intimidating Olympic stadium is a hindrance, but shouldn’t put punters off taking the extra value that comes with a more balanced Blaugrana side to retain their title at 7-5.

Atletico Madrid look well placed to chase home the champions after a strong second half to the season in which they collected more points than anyone else, but may lack that bit of extra quality to upset La Liga’s big two, despite Antoine Griezmman re-signing permanently.#

Robert Lewandowski to be top goalscorer at 4/7

Robert Lewandowski hit 23 goals on his way to the Pichici award last season and his closest contender and 2021/22 winner – Karim Benzema – has left for Saudi Arabia.

The only player to have bettered Lewandowski’s 23-goal haul that still plies their trade in La Liga is Radamel Falcao, who managed the feat in 2011/12 and 2012/13, so matching last season’s tally should be enough to claim another top goalscorer award.

This should be no problem for the veteran given he has hit 23 league goals or more in eight of the last nine seasons.

Rayo Vallecano to be relegated at 4/1

While the top three in the division look pencilled in, the fight to avoid relegation is shaping up to be a competitive heat once more.

On the final day of last season, six teams were still in danger of going down and with nine points covering 18th to 10th in the final table, the order may shift dramatically.

Rayo Vallecano finished comfortably in mid-table last term but could struggle to survive again after losing their instrumental head coach Andoni Iraola and several key players.

With one of the smallest budgets in the league and a coach in Francisco Rodriguez that hasn’t had much success in Spain’s top flight, Rayo appear vulnerable and a value punt at 4/1 for the drop.

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