Ajax vs ADO Den Haag Predictions

• Ajax top the Eredivisie table via goal difference ahead of AZ.
• Den Haag could move out of the relegation zone with a win in Amsterdam.
• Den Haag have a terrible record against Ajax.
• Ajax are looking to return to winning ways in the league following back-to-back defeats.

The hosts can’t afford to lose

Ajax are unbeaten in their last 17 matches against Den Haag, picking up five wins from the pair’s last seven encounters, and have kept four clean sheets in the duo’s last seven meetings. The hosts have won three of their last six matches in all competitions while the visitors are without a win in their last seven matches, suffering three defeats during that period, so you can see why we have backed Ajax to return to winning ways on Sunday.

Ajax have scored four or more goals in three of their last seven matches in league and cup and Den Haag have conceded four goals in their last away game against Heracles; we believe Ajax will create enough chances to score four goals of their own on Sunday. Ajax have won seven of their eight home games this season and Den Haag have lost six of their eight away games in the Eredivisie, making a home win the most likely result this weekend.

Ajax average 2.63 points per home game, while Den Haag average just 0.75 points per away game, and the hosts score an average of 3.50 goals per home game and concede an average of just 0.50 goals. Ajax haven’t drawn any home games this season and Den Haag are yet to draw on the road, suggesting this game will not end in a stalemate.

Ajax’s home games produce an average of 4.00 total goals and Den Haag’s away games produce an average of 3.25 total goals, adding further weight to our prediction of four goals being produced in Sunday’s clash. A total of 75% of Ajax’s home games have produced over 3.5 goals, as have 50% of Den Haag’s away games, which points towards at least four goals being scored on Sunday.

Den Haag have struggled this season and appear destined for a relegation fight

Both teams scored in just 25% of Ajax’s home games, as well as in 38% of Den Haag’s away games, which is why we are confident only one team will score in Amsterdam this weekend. Ajax have kept a clean sheet and won to nil in 62% of their home games; Den Haag have failed to score and lost to nil in 38% of their away games.

In total, 25% of Ajax’s home games have produced exactly four goals and the same goes for 38% of Den Haag’s away games, with a majority of Ajax’s wins this season (12) being obtained with a margin of two goals or more and a majority of Den Haag’s defeats in the league (6) having a margin of two goals or more, suggesting there is a good chance Ajax will win this game comfortably.

We’re confident Ajax will win to nil on Sunday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 4-0. The hosts have been so strong at home and despite a dip in form of late that has allowed AZ to close the gap, we believe the hosts will be far too strong for a Den Haag side that look especially poor on the road and are likely to find themselves in a relegation battle this season.