Alaves vs Barcelona Predictions

• Under 2.5 has landed in three of Barca’s last four, with eight goals scored in that stretch
• Alaves have held two of the top four to 1-1 draws at home
• Barca have held their opponents under 0.9 xG in their last four league games
• Ferran Torres has scored five in five for Barca and he is their standout attacker right now

Desperate Alaves could trouble champions

Barcelona wrapped up the Spanish title with an El Clasico win on Sunday, and they are set to play out their remaining fixtures without superstar Lamine Yamal.

Hosts Alaves will hope Barca ease off, as they need points to climb out of the bottom three. Alaves are a point shy of safety, and they’ve been scrapping for results of late.

While Hansi Flick’s Barca are known for their adventurous style, there have been eight goals scored across their last four La Liga outings. The visitors held Real to 0.85 Expected Goals on Sunday, and they’ve held their last four league opponents under 0.9 xG.

Barca are looking a little short up front, with Ferran Torres playing as their main forward. He’s scored five in five games, and he’s backed to come good again in this trip. However, Barca have little to play for, and they could continue their recent trend of low-scoring matches.

Alaves have picked up 1-1 draws at home to Villarreal and Atletico Madrid this term, and another point would set them up well ahead of two winnable final games. Goals are heavily odds-on here with the idea that this will be an open, end-of-season encounter. However, Alaves can’t afford to give much away, and Barca’s defensive numbers are better than their attacking output of late.