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Apoel Nicosia vs Basel Predictions

TV
UEFA Europa League | GSP Stadium | 20th February
Apoel Nicosia badge
Apoel Nicosia
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
KO 20:00
Basel badge
Basel
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

APOEL Nicosia vs Basel predictions for Thursday’s Europa League tie. Basel’s form hasn’t been good enough following the winter break but will be expected to secure a positive result in Cyrpus on Thursday night. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Basel to Win @ 15/8

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Basel 1-0 @ 7/1

Reason For Apoel Nicosia vs Basel Predictions

  • Basel won 4 of their 6 Europa League group games.
  • APOEL lost their opening 2 games during the group stage.
  • Under 2.5 goals were produced in 3 of Basel’s 6 group games.
  • Under 2.5 goals were produced in 3 of APOL’s 6 group games.

Basel have more experience in top European competitions than their hosts

These two teams have never played one another before but based on their overall experience in European competitions and their results during the group stage of the Europa League, then Basel are the favourites to progress through to the next round. Visitors Basel finished top of Group C with 13pts and only lost one of their six matches in an arguably tougher group than APOEL had. Thursday’s hosts finished 2nd behind Sevilla in Group A, where Qarabag and F91 Dudelange made up the rest of their opposition, and the Cypriots lost their opening two matches but qualified with 10pts.

APOEL haven’t lost at home in the league this season but won’t have faced any opposition as tough as Basel before and the visitors arrive having won five times on the road in the Swiss Super League. Both teams have scored in just 30% of APOEL’s home games as well as in 45% of Basel’s trips on the road, which is one of the reasons we have only backed one team to score in Thursday’s clash.

Basel score an average of 1.91 goals per away game and average a total of 1.55 points per away game but APOEL only concede an average of 0.40 goals per home game, which is why we have backed a narrow 1-0 win for the Swiss side. Basel have won 45% of their away games domestically, scoring 21 times on the road, and a majority of APOEL’s defeats this season (3) have had a 1-goal margin.

The visitors kept clean sheets in half of their Europa League group games

APOEL have failed to score in 20% of their home games and lost in their own backyard against F91 Dudelange of Luxembourg during the group stage of the Europa League, while Basel have kept clean sheets in 36% of their away games and didn’t concede a single goal in three of their six Group C games.

The hosts have failed to score in two of their last three matches and Basel kept a clean sheet in their last away game, and we would have backed Basel to win by a greater margin if it hasn’t been for their disappointing form in 2020. The visitors have won one of their four matches since the winter break but play in a much tougher and more competitive league than APOEL, which is one of the main reasons we believe Basel are best placed to win the 1st leg in Cyprus.

We’re confident that Basel will win on Thursday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0. Basel were the better of the two clubs during the group stage and played against tougher opponents than APOEL but we are still expecting a tight and tense ninety minutes in Cyprus. Basel might not be in the best of form but they did look excellent in their last away game and managed to keep clean sheets in half of their group games, which is why we have backed the visitors to win on Thursday.

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