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Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Published on 11:22am GMT 22 September 2025

  • 19:30
  • Expired
  • Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
  • Premier Sports 1

Atletico Madrid to Win

Reason for tip

Atletico Madrid have lost only one of their last 21 La Liga fixtures on home soil, while Los Colchoneros have also won four of their last five meetings with Rayo Vallecano.

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Atletico Madrid 1-0

Reason for tip

Atletico Madrid have scored exactly once in four of their five La Liga assignments this season. Rayo meanwhile, have conceded one goal in four of their last five league fixtures. Expect little action in the capital.

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Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions

  • Atletico Madrid have won four and drawn one of their last five meetings with Rayo Vallecano.
  • Atletico Madrid have been scoring an average of just 1.20 goals per game in La Liga this season.
  • Rayo Vallecano have conceded only one goal in four of their first five La Liga fixtures of the new campaign.

Atletico could force a narrow victory against Rayo

Atletico Madrid dropped points for the fourth time in five La Liga assignments this season when they were held to a 1-1 draw at Mallorca on Sunday, though they are fancied to reset their domestic form with a victory over Rayo Vallecano.

Diego Simeone’s side have been lacking in the goal-scoring department this season, though they won the xG battle by a significant margin (2.10 – 0.60) and really should have left the Balearics with more.

Disappointingly, Atletico have scored just one goal in four of their first five La Liga fixtures of the fresh campaign with forwards Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth, Antoine Griezmann and Giuliano Simeone chipping in with just two efforts between them so far, though an improvement to their output is expected.

Rayo Vallecano, who have already held champions Barcelona to a 1-1 draw this season, are unlikely to make life easy for Atletico in the capital on Wednesday, though their poor record in this fixture cannot be dismissed.

Rayo have lost four and drawn one of their last five encounters with Atletico and haven’t beaten their more illustrious opponents since 2013.

Atletico don’t tend to slip up on their own patch, in fact, they’ve lost only one of their last 21 La Liga tests at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano and they are favoured to make the most of home advantage again here.

Rayo have been conceding an average of just 1.20 goals per game in La Liga since August however, making a 1-0 Atletico win the correct score option with the most potential.

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