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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

Published on 2:07pm GMT 6 January 2026

  • 19:00
  • Today
  • King Abdullah Sports City
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
  • TNT Sports 1

Over 3.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

The fact this is a Super Cup game on neutral territory could leads to this edition of the Madrid Derby being an open affair, and over 3.5 goals offers value. Both teams have scored in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head meetings across all competitions so both sides should be able to contribute, while Real have scored at least twice in four consecutive games and Atleti have done the same in three of their last four so they should be able to combine for at least four goals.

7/4odds when tipped
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Draw 2-2

Reason for tip

Atletico have won the last two meetings between these sides in normal time and have had the edge over their city rivals in recent years, losing just one of the last 11 games excluding extra time. The majority of those games have finished level, however, and another score draw has a chance. A 2-2 stalemate, which would send the tie into extra time, is the pick.

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Julian Alvarez To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Julian Alvarez scored twice in Atleti’s 5-2 Madrid Derby win earlier in the season and can get on the scoresheet on Thursday. The Argentina international has been more effective in cup tournaments this term with four goals in five Champions League games, having hit seven in 19 La Liga outings, and he can make his mark in Saudi Arabia on Thursday.

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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

  • There have been at least four goals scored in two of Real’s last three games.
  • Over 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in two of Atleti’s last five games.
  • Both teams have scored in 11 of the last 12 Madrid Derby games.

Atleti and Real could serve up Jeddah goalfest

City rivals Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid meet in the Spanish Super Cup in Jeddah on Thursday in what has the potential to be a high-scoring affair.

These two sides played out a thrilling 3-3 draw at this stage of this competition in 2024, with Real coming through in extra-time. We may not be treated to a six-goal classic this time around but over 3.5 goals has a chance.

Madrid Derby games have been intense battles in recent years and both teams have scored in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head clashes. That suggests both teams can contribute to the overall total.

Real have been in good scoring form with 12 goals across their last four games, while Atleti have hit nine over the same timeframe and they triumphed 5-2 when these teams last met in La Liga back in September.

The fact this is a Super Cup game on neutral territory should also allow both sides to play with a bit more freedom than they perhaps would in another competition, and that could lead to a high-scoring affair.

Atletico have won the last two meetings between these sides in normal time and have had the edge over their city rivals in recent years, losing just one of the last 11 games excluding extra time. They can at least drag this fixture into additional time and a 2-2 is the correct score prediction, as Los Blancos have scored at least twice in four consecutive games and Atleti have done the same in three of their last four.

Julian Alvarez scored twice in Atleti’s 5-2 Madrid Derby win earlier in the season and can get on the scoresheet on Thursday. The Argentina international has been more effective in cup competitions this term with four goals in five Champions League games, having hit seven in 19 La Liga outings, and he can make his mark in Saudi Arabia on Thursday.

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