AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Predictions

• AZ have won 4 of their last 6 matches against Zwolle.
• AZ have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches against Zwolle.
• AZ have won 3 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.
• Zwolle have failed to score in 3 of their last 6 matches (including friendlies).

AZ have a fantastic clean sheets record at home

AZ could only draw 1-1 in the 1st leg of their Europa League tie against LASK and now need a good result in Austria to progress, while Zwolle lost a 7-goal thriller in their last league game at home to Feyenoord. The visitors sit third from bottom and are 25pts behind second-placed AZ who are looking to keep the pressure on the league leaders Ajax.

AZ have a good recent record against Zwolle, winning four of the pairs’ last six encounters, and have kept clean sheets in four of the duos’ last five meetings. The hosts head into Sunday’s match as the form favourites with three wins from their last six outings, while Zwolle have only won one of their last five competitive matches.

The hosts have already won eight of their eleven home games in the Eredivisie and go up against a Zwolle side that have lost eight of their twelve away games in the league, so you can see why we have backed a home win this weekend. AZ average 2.27 points per home game, which is well above the league average of 1.75 points, while Zwolle only average 0.67 points per away game, which is below the league average of 1.03 points.

Zwolle have struggled for goals and points on the road

AZ score an average of 2.36 goals per home game and only concede 0.73 goals while Zwolle score an average of 0.67 goals per away game and concede 1.83 goals, and we have backed the hosts to comfortable win 3-0 on Sunday. AZ scored 4-goals in their last home league game against bottom of the table RKC while Zwolle have twice conceded 3 or more goals in two of their last five league matches.

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 64% of AZ’s home games as well as in 58% of Zwolle’s trips on the road, but only 27% of the hosts’; matches at home have seen both teams score. AZ have kept clean sheets in 73% of their home games and 64% have seen them win-to-nil, while Zwolle have failed to score in 58% of their away games and 42% have seen the visitors lose-to-nil.

We’re confident that AZ will win-to-nil on Sunday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 3-0. The hosts are the form favourites and have performed really well in the Eredivisie this season, establishing themselves as the main threat to Ajax’s title-challenge, while Zwolle have always been in or around the relegation places and are expected to struggle this weekend.