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Brighton vs Burnley Predictions

  • 15:00
  • Expired
  • The Amex Stadium
Brighton
Burnley

Brighton to Win

8/11odds when tipped
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Burnley 1-0

12/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Brighton won 2-1 at Turf Moor in the reverse fixture in August.
  • Burnley are winless on their travels (D5, L6).
  • Brighton are unbeaten in their last three home games (W1, D2).
  • Albion average 0.9 goals-per-game at home, while Burnley have drawn a blank in three of their last five trips.

Brighton and Burnley meet at the Amex

Brighton are the Premier League’s draw specialists with exactly half of their 24 games so far ending all square but the visit of rock bottom Burnley looks like a real chance to pick up maximum points.

The Clarets are yet to win on their travels with just five points to show from 11 trips (D5, L6), and they lost the reverse fixture 2-1 back in August.

Albion have no fresh injury concerns going into this one but Lewis Dunk will miss out after his sending off at Manchester United on Monday, with Jeremy Sarmiento and Enock Mwepu still missing through injury. The visitors remain without Johann Gudmundsson and Matej Vydra, while Charlie Taylor is likely to miss out again with an ankle issue.

Seagulls can claim rare home win

Brighton have managed just three home wins in 11 attempts this season in the league but they have also only lost three times, with too many draws an issue for Graham Potter’s men.

The Seagulls slipped to a 2-0 defeat at Manchester United on Monday but can bounce back when Burnley visit by picking up a win.

The Clarets lost 1-0 at home to Liverpool last weekend as a run of three successive draws came to an end. Sean Dyche’s side sit bottom of the table and are now seven points adrift of safety, albeit with games in hand.

Burnley have struggled away from home all season and they were incredibly lucky to steal a point at Arsenal in their last trip as they held the Gunners to a 0-0 draw. That ended a run of three straight defeats away from home but goals on the road remain an issue and they have managed just two in their last five trips.

Goals could be at a premium on the south coast

Both of these teams struggle for goals and this fixture looks a good option for unders backers in the over/under 2.5 goals market, but I feel Brighton may just edge this game based on their recent performances and the fact they won at Turf Moor earlier in the campaign.

Brighton are averaging just 0.9 goals-per-game at home but they have scored four in total across their last three games and one may be enough to secure the points against this struggling Burnley side, and a 1-0 win for the hosts looks a reasonable bet for correct score backers.

Brighton Predicted lineup: Sanchez, Webster, Veltman, Duffy, Cucurella, Gross, Moder, Bissouma, Mac Allister, Trossard, Maupay

Burnley Predicted lineup: Pope, Pieters, Mee, Tarkowski, Roberts, Lennon, Westwood, Brownhill, Rodriguez, Weghorst, Cornet


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  • Seven of Burnley’s last nine Premier League games have stayed under 2.5 goals

Spotlight Insights combine the best data and editorial expertise to give you an extra angle.

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