Croatia vs Gibraltar Predictions

• Gibraltar lost 7-0 at home to Croatia
• The visitors lost 14-0 in their last qualifying trip to a top-ranked nation
• Croatia have matched their 17 goals in this campaign with 16.2 xG, so expect them to finish the raft of chances they’ll get

Gibraltar in for a difficult evening

Croatia were frustrated in their trip to Czechia on Thursday, drawing 0-0 as they failed to get any breathing room at the top of the group. However, they were the stronger side going forward, as they had three big chances in the goalless draw.

While Croatia were held, they’ve won four of their five group games, with a +16 goal difference to boot. A 7-0 win over Gibraltar was key to that, but the hosts have been fantastic throughout in this campaign.

Outside of that win over Gibraltar, Croatia have 10.8 Expected Goals from four matches. They were 4-0 winners over Montenegro in their last home game, while they began the year with a 2-0 home win over France.

Gibraltar have bad memories of the French, with a 14-0 mauling in November 2023 representing a real low for their national side. While the hosts have had a string of low-scoring home defeats behind them this autumn, they’ll struggle to match the quality of a strong Croatia side.

With the hosts expected to win with ease, over 5.5 goals is the standout selection.