FSV Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim Predictions

• Over 2.5 goals has landed in Heidenheim’s last seven games
• The visitors have shipped a league-high 36 goals, conceding 2.43 per away trip
• Mainz shipped 3.4 Expected Goals in Saturday’s draw with Union Berlin
• Heidenheim faced 2.9 xG in their draw with Cologne at the weekend

Key clash for bottom two

The Bundesliga’s bottom two sides face off on Tuesday night, with the pair hoping for a rare league victory. Hosts Mainz are bottom of the standings with only one victory from their first 16 matches, while visitors Heidenheim have lost six of their seven trips to date.

The visitors have been far too open on their travels, shipping 2.43 goals per game away from home. They were able to start 2026 on a positive note, as they held Cologne to a 2-2 draw on Saturday.

Mainz also drew 2-2 away to Union Berlin at the weekend, which was their fourth draw in their last five across all competitions.

The hosts have the league’s worst home record, thanks to scoring only five times in eight games. However, facing a Heidenheim side that have shipped a league-high 36 goals should allow the hosts to improve their scoring tally.

Each of Heidenheim’s last seven games have featured three or more goals, while the pair’s underlying numbers point to an open affair. The hosts shipped 3.4 xG to Union Berlin on Saturday, while Heidenheim gave up 2.9 xG in their draw. With chances expected at both ends, over 2.5 goals appeals at evens.