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Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Predictions

  • 18:30
  • Expired
  • Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
  • BT Sport 3

Manchester City to Win and Over 3.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

City have scored 11 goals across their last three games and they meet a Forest side who have shown themselves to be one of the league’s most open defences. The hosts averaged 3.05 goals per home game last season so back them to up that against a leaky Forest side.

8/11odds when tipped
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Manchester City 4-1

Reason for tip

City have conceded five goals across their last two games, but they’ve also hit at least four goals in four of their last five home league games, putting four past Palace and Bournemouth already this season.

14/1odds when tipped
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Kevin de Bruyne To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

De Bruyne has scored 10 goals across his last 17 home league appearances and he has a fantastic record against promoted sides. The Belgian already struck against Bournemouth this term and has been involved in 20 goals in his last 20 Premier League appearances against promoted sides.

13/10odds when tipped
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Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Predictions

  • Forest have the second-highest Expected Goals against tally in the league
  • City have scored at least three times in their last three games
  • The Citizens averaged 3.05 goals per home game last term
  • De Bruyne has scored 10 goals across his last 17 home league games

City’s 13-year wait for revenge

When Man City last met Nottingham Forest the Citizens were in the early days of their takeover, entering their first January transfer window under the new regime. They had £10million buy Wayne Bridge paraded around the stadium, before losing 3-0 at home to Forest in the FA Cup.

Things have certainly changed for both sides, with Forest heading into this trip at 400/1 to repeat that 3-0 victory. To do so they’d need to end an awful run against the previous season’s title winners, having lost their last six games against the reigning champions by an aggregate score of 23-3. City look good to add to that tally this week.

Big test for Forest

Nottingham Forest haven’t conceded more than twice on the road in 73 away league games, but their defence hasn’t been tested like this so far.

To date, Forest have been outperformed in Expected Goals in every game so far, despite picking up four points. Sunday saw opponents Tottenham record an xG of 2.44, while only Bournemouth – fresh off a 9-0 loss – have a worse xG against tally than Forest so far.

While the visitors have found it tough to keep opponents quiet so far, that’s nothing compared to what they’ll face against City.

City to cruise to victory

The champions recovered from 2-0 down to beat Crystal Palace 4-2 on Saturday and they could rack up the goals again at the Etihad this week. City have scored at least three times in their last three games and they averaged 3.05 goals per home game last term, so back them to punish newly-promoted Forest in a high-scoring win.

Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne has been involved in 20 goals in his last 20 Premier League appearances against promoted sides, finding the net at home to Bournemouth already this season. The Belgian has scored 10 goals across 17 appearances at home in the league since the start of last season, so he’s a great anytime scorer option.

While City are looking strong going forward they are leaking too many goals right now. They’ve shipped five across their last two league games and Forest are capable enough to take advantage of that. Given that I’m backing the visitors to find the net in a 4-1 defeat.


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