Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda Predictions

• Breda have won four of their last seven matches against Helmond Sport.
• Breda beat Helmond Sport 5-1 in the pairs reverse league fixture in August.
• Helmond Sport are without a win in their last six league games.
• Breda haven’t lost any of their last three away games in all competitions.

Helmond Sport look hopeless at home

Helmond Sport failed to win a single game or keep a clean sheet in November and December and their first game of 202 is against a Breda side looking to return to the top flight of Dutch football at the first time of asking. Breda have won four of their last seven meetings with Helmond Sport and the visitors have won four of their last six matches in all competitions, making them the form favourites ahead of a Helmond Sport side that have lost five of their last six.

Breda have kept three clean sheets in their last six attempts and will be confident they can keep another against a Helmond Sport side in dire form. The hosts have scored in each of their last six matches but the visitors arrive in much the better form and full of confidence. Helmond Sport have already lost six times at home this season while Breda have won four times on the road, with the hosts averaging just 0.80 points per home game and the visitors averaging 1.56 points per away game.

60% of Helmond Sport’s home games have ended in defeat this season and the hosts concede an average of 1.80 goals per home game, while Breda have won 44% of their away games, which is well above the league average of 26%, and the visitors score an average of 1.56 goals per away game which is why we have backed a final scoreline of 2-0 in favour of Breda this Friday.

Breda will be hoping to continue their momentum into the new year

The hosts have scored 12 goals at home this season and have conceded 18 goals while Breda have scored 14 goals on the road and will be confident they can outscore Helmond Sport on Friday. 90% of Helmond Sport’s home games and 78% of Breda’s away games have produced over 1.5 goals which is why we have backed a 2-0 win for the visitors rather than a 1-0 victory. Breda have managed to keep clean sheets in 35% of their league games this season compared to the mere 5% the hosts have managed so far.

30% of Helmond Sport’s home games and 22% of Breda’s away games have produced exactly 2 goals which suggests there is a good chance Friday’s match will also produce that amount of goals. A majority of Helmond Sport’s defeats had a margin of 2 goals or more (8 defeats) while Breda have obtained as many 1-goal margin wins as wins with a margin of 2 goals or more (5 wins for each), meaning there is a good chance the final scoreline will end 2-0 to the visitors.

We’re confident that Breda will win on Friday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-0. The visitors head into the game as the form favourites and have outplayed Helmond Sport so far this season. The hosts had a dreadful end to 2019 and there is little to suggest Helmond Sport will turn things around in the new year while Breda were one of the favourites to earn promotion this season and will know how important a bright start to 2020 will be to their chances of an immediate return to the Eredivisie.