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Italy vs Moldova Predictions

Published on 1:33pm GMT 7 June 2025

  • 18:45
  • Tomorrow
  • Stadio Olimpico
Italy
Moldova

Italy to Win and Over 3.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Moldova have lost two from two in this qualifying campaign, which includes a 5-0 hammering at home to Norway. They managed just 30% of possession in that loss, while this Italian side likes to get on the ball under Luciano Spalletti. The Italian boss is under pressure following their own loss to Norway, so back his side to respond with a big home win.

4/5odds when tipped
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Italy 4-1

Reason for tip

Italy have managed one clean sheet across their last 13 internationals, while Moldova have an xG of 1.4 across their first two qualifiers. The hosts also conceded in three of their four home qualifiers ahead of Euro 2024, so back Moldova to score in a heavy home win.

14/1odds when tipped
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Frattesi To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Frattesi was Italy’s joint-top scorer in their recent Nations League campaign and the Inter midfielder scored five Serie A goals this term, while netting key strikes against Bayern and Barcelona in their Champions League run.

11/8odds when tipped

Italy vs Moldova Predictions

  • Italy scored nine times across home meetings with North Macedonia and Malta in their last qualifying campaign
  • Moldova have conceded eight times across their first two games in this group
  • The visitors allowed 24 shots against them in a 5-0 home loss to Norway

Key clash for Spalletti

Italy’s hopes of a first World Cup appearance since 2014 took a hit in their opening qualifying clash, as they were hammered 3-0 by Norway. Thanks to their Nations League matches earlier this year, the Azzurri are already nine points shy of Norway and six off second, which only offers a playoff spot.

As a result, Luciano Spalletti is set for talks with his bosses after this international break. His side have lost two and drawn once in 2025, while they’re less than a year removed from an underwhelming appearance at Euro 2024.

Opponents Moldova have had struggles of their own, having been thumped 5-0 at home by Norway in their opening game. The hosts also conceded three times in a defeat to Estonia, so Italy should be able to carve out some openings.

Spalletti’s side will look to get on the ball and create chances, while the hosts won home clashes with North Macedonia and Malta 5-2 and 4-0 in their previous qualifying campaign.

Moldova conceded 24 shots in their home loss to Norway, so back Italy to win a high-scoring clash against the vulnerable visitors.

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