Lazio vs Fiorentina Predictions

• Lazio have won three successive games, all to nil, culminating with Tuesday’s 4-0 hammering of Milan.
• Fiorentina have suffered back-to-back Serie A defeats against Roma and Torino.
• The visitors have taken just eight of their 23 points on the road this season, only winning away at Sampdoria and Spezia.
• Lazio thrashed Fiorentina 4-0 away from home earlier this season.

Sarri’s men on the rise

Maurizio Sarri described Tuesday’s 4-0 annihilation of Serie A champions Milan as Lazio’s best performance since he took charge in 2021, and his Biancocelesti could be the chief beneficiaries of a perfect storm at the top of the Italian top flight. Unfancied for a top-four finish before the season began, Lazio are now third, with Juventus receiving a 15-point deduction and both Milan giants struggling. On Sunday, they could garner more momentum from their meeting with Fiorentina.

Lazio have won three successive games to nil in all competitions, bouncing back after they began 2023 with a shock defeat at Lecce. Sarri’s men created their best expected goals (3.1 xG) tally of the season against Milan last time out, dealing with Ciro Immobile’s absence in brilliant fashion. Lazio have been strong on their own turf this term, winning six of their 10 league matches at Stadio Olimpico and averaging two goals per game there, with only Napoli and Salernitana beating them at home.

Fiorentina have suffered back-to-back defeats against Roma and Torino, dealing the Viola a setback following a run of seven runs in nine matches either side of the World Cup. Juventus’ demise potentially gives Fiorentina a route into what appeared to be a well-established top seven, but their away form must improve. The Viola have only taken eight of their 23 points on the road, with their two away wins this term coming at Sampdoria and Spezia in back-to-back trips before the World Cup.

Biancocelesti worth backing

Considering the decent price available around the hosts after they thrashed Milan on this ground earlier in the week, backing them to follow it up with another win against poor travellers appears a no-brainer.

Meanwhile, Lazio have scored multiple goals in three of their last four games and triumphed 4-0 at Fiorentina in October’s return fixture. The Viola have improved since then, but a 2-0 home success appears a solid correct score play.

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