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Tunisia vs Japan Predictions

Published on 1:03pm GMT 15 June 2026

  • 04:00
  • 21
  • Estadio BBVA
Tunisia
Japan
  • BBC One

Japan To Win To Nil

Reason for tip

Tunisia created just 0.05 Expected Goals from open play against Sweden, and they meet a Japanese side that had won five straight games to nil ahead of their tournament opener. Samurai Blue held the Dutch to 0.78 xG in their 2-2, so they should be strong enough defensively to claim a win to nil.

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Japan 2-0

Reason for tip

While Tunisia have conceded 10 times across their last two matches, Japan have only twice won a World Cup match by more than one goal. One of those victories was a 2-0 win over Tunisia in 2002. They’ve scored at least twice in six of their last eight matches, so a 2-0 win for Samurai Blue appeals.

11/2odds when tipped
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Ayase Ueda To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Ueda scored 25 times for Feyenoord in the Eredivisie last season, and the striker struck four goals in the Asian Cup in 2024. Tunisia gave up plenty of chances to Sweden’s forwards, so Ueda should expect chances.

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Tunisia vs Japan Predictions

  • Japan conceded only three goals across 16 qualifiers
  • The Japanese have won five of their last six international matches to nil
  • Tunisia have scored only once across their last four games

Blunt Tunisia set for another defeat

Tunisia went through qualifying without conceding a goal, but they’ve let in 10 across their previous two matches after a 5-1 defeat against Sweden in their tournament opener.

Things are set to get tougher from here for Tunisia, with clashes against Japan and the Netherlands to come.

The Samurai Blue held their own in a 2-2 draw with the Dutch in Dallas. They restricted Ronald Koeman’s side to just 0.78 Expected Goals, continuing their own fine defensive record.

Japan scored 54 times and conceded only three goals across 16 matches in qualifying. They went into the tournament following five consecutive wins to nil, beating both England and Scotland.

Tunisia’s opening defeat saw Sweden score from five of their seven shots on target, with the Swedes generating 1.33 xG. However, Tunisia were also fortunate to score, and they had failed to score in three straight games before creating just 0.05 xG from open play against Sweden.

Japan can shut out Tunisia in their first win of the tournament. Given the chances that Tunisia gave up against Sweden’s forwards, Ayase Ueda should be able to get on the scoresheet. He found the net four times in the Asian Cup in 2024, and he struck 25 league goals for Feyenoord last season.

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